**Current forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with the China Meteorological Administration, indicate a minimum temperature for Qingdao on September 23 in the low 20s °C, driven by southerly flow, moderate humidity, and limited overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies.** Coastal location and seasonal transition keep conditions mild, with highs near 25–27 °C and little evidence of a cold surge or clear-sky radiational cooling that could push readings below 20 °C. Model consensus shows low precipitation risk and stable steering patterns, though minor variations in cloud cover or wind speed could shift the exact low by 1–2 °C. This supports market-implied odds clustering around 21–23 °C while explaining why extreme low-probability outcomes like 13 °C or below remain priced in amid residual forecast uncertainty. New model runs and official updates over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Qingdao on September 23?
Lowest temperature in Qingdao on September 23?
23°C or higher 85%
13°C or below 34%
16°C 29%
17°C 27%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 23, 2026
13°C or below
34%
14°C
20%
15°C
22%
16°C
29%
17°C
27%
18°C
20%
19°C
20%
20°C
9%
21°C
13%
22°C
5%
23°C or higher
85%
23°C or higher 85%
13°C or below 34%
16°C 29%
17°C 27%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 23, 2026
13°C or below
$0 Обс.
34%
14°C
$0 Обс.
20%
15°C
$0 Обс.
22%
16°C
$0 Обс.
29%
17°C
$0 Обс.
27%
18°C
$0 Обс.
20%
19°C
$0 Обс.
20%
20°C
$0 Обс.
9%
21°C
$100 Обс.
13%
22°C
$100 Обс.
5%
23°C or higher
$100 Обс.
85%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with the China Meteorological Administration, indicate a minimum temperature for Qingdao on September 23 in the low 20s °C, driven by southerly flow, moderate humidity, and limited overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies.**
Coastal location and seasonal transition keep conditions mild, with highs near 25–27 °C and little evidence of a cold surge or clear-sky radiational cooling that could push readings below 20 °C. Model consensus shows low precipitation risk and stable steering patterns, though minor variations in cloud cover or wind speed could shift the exact low by 1–2 °C. This supports market-implied odds clustering around 21–23 °C while explaining why extreme low-probability outcomes like 13 °C or below remain priced in amid residual forecast uncertainty. New model runs and official updates over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Обсяг
$300Дата завершення
Sep 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with the China Meteorological Administration, indicate a minimum temperature for Qingdao on September 23 in the low 20s °C, driven by southerly flow, moderate humidity, and limited overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies.**
Coastal location and seasonal transition keep conditions mild, with highs near 25–27 °C and little evidence of a cold surge or clear-sky radiational cooling that could push readings below 20 °C. Model consensus shows low precipitation risk and stable steering patterns, though minor variations in cloud cover or wind speed could shift the exact low by 1–2 °C. This supports market-implied odds clustering around 21–23 °C while explaining why extreme low-probability outcomes like 13 °C or below remain priced in amid residual forecast uncertainty. New model runs and official updates over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$300Дата завершення
Sep 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with the China Meteorological Administration, indicate a minimum temperature for Qingdao on September 23 in the low 20s °C, driven by southerly flow, moderate humidity, and limited overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies.** Coastal location and seasonal transition keep conditions mild, with highs near 25–27 °C and little evidence of a cold surge or clear-sky radiational cooling that could push readings below 20 °C. Model consensus shows low precipitation risk and stable steering patterns, though minor variations in cloud cover or wind speed could shift the exact low by 1–2 °C. This supports market-implied odds clustering around 21–23 °C while explaining why extreme low-probability outcomes like 13 °C or below remain priced in amid residual forecast uncertainty. New model runs and official updates over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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