**Latest short-range model consensus and real-time observations indicate a daytime high in Milan on September 21 most likely between 27–29 °C under stable high pressure.** Light southeasterly winds, minimal cloud cover through peak heating hours, and strong insolation support surface temperatures near the upper end of recent guidance, with some ensemble members and statistical post-processing reaching 29–30 °C. Differentiation among 29 °C, 30 °C, and 31 °C+ hinges on subtle factors: exact cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing depth, and the strength of any urban heat-island contribution at the official measurement site. Current model spread remains narrow, keeping lower outcomes (28 °C or below) at low implied probability while still leaving modest room for an upside surprise if afternoon clearing is more pronounced than forecast.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Milan on September 21?
Highest temperature in Milan on September 21?
30°C 41%
29°C 33%
31°C or higher 14%
28°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 21, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
11%
29°C
33%
30°C
41%
31°C or higher
14%
30°C 41%
29°C 33%
31°C or higher 14%
28°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 21, 2026
21°C or below
$1,055 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$1,736 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$110 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$125 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$340 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$54 Обс.
1%
27°C
$109 Обс.
3%
28°C
$607 Обс.
11%
29°C
$464 Обс.
33%
30°C
$692 Обс.
41%
31°C or higher
$182 Обс.
14%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest short-range model consensus and real-time observations indicate a daytime high in Milan on September 21 most likely between 27–29 °C under stable high pressure.** Light southeasterly winds, minimal cloud cover through peak heating hours, and strong insolation support surface temperatures near the upper end of recent guidance, with some ensemble members and statistical post-processing reaching 29–30 °C. Differentiation among 29 °C, 30 °C, and 31 °C+ hinges on subtle factors: exact cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing depth, and the strength of any urban heat-island contribution at the official measurement site. Current model spread remains narrow, keeping lower outcomes (28 °C or below) at low implied probability while still leaving modest room for an upside surprise if afternoon clearing is more pronounced than forecast.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$5,474Дата завершення
Sep 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest short-range model consensus and real-time observations indicate a daytime high in Milan on September 21 most likely between 27–29 °C under stable high pressure.** Light southeasterly winds, minimal cloud cover through peak heating hours, and strong insolation support surface temperatures near the upper end of recent guidance, with some ensemble members and statistical post-processing reaching 29–30 °C. Differentiation among 29 °C, 30 °C, and 31 °C+ hinges on subtle factors: exact cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing depth, and the strength of any urban heat-island contribution at the official measurement site. Current model spread remains narrow, keeping lower outcomes (28 °C or below) at low implied probability while still leaving modest room for an upside surprise if afternoon clearing is more pronounced than forecast.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$5,474Дата завершення
Sep 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Latest short-range model consensus and real-time observations indicate a daytime high in Milan on September 21 most likely between 27–29 °C under stable high pressure.** Light southeasterly winds, minimal cloud cover through peak heating hours, and strong insolation support surface temperatures near the upper end of recent guidance, with some ensemble members and statistical post-processing reaching 29–30 °C. Differentiation among 29 °C, 30 °C, and 31 °C+ hinges on subtle factors: exact cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing depth, and the strength of any urban heat-island contribution at the official measurement site. Current model spread remains narrow, keeping lower outcomes (28 °C or below) at low implied probability while still leaving modest room for an upside surprise if afternoon clearing is more pronounced than forecast.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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