**Forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF show a high-pressure ridge maintaining mostly clear to partly cloudy skies over Milan on September 20, supporting efficient daytime heating with light southwesterly winds.** This setup favors a daily maximum near 26–28 °C (79–82 °F), consistent with the market’s heavy weighting toward 27 °C (67.5 % implied probability). Current conditions on September 19 feature sunny skies and highs around 25–26 °C under similar stable high pressure (around 1022–1025 hPa), providing a warm starting point with minimal overnight cooling. September climatology for Milan places average highs near 24–26 °C, so the expected outcome sits slightly above the seasonal norm but within normal variability for late-summer anticyclonic flow. Model consensus across multiple runs points to peak temperatures occurring in the afternoon under broken cloud cover that does not significantly suppress insolation. The modest probabilities assigned to 26 °C and 28 °C reflect typical forecast uncertainty in exact maximum values, while lower outcomes remain improbable given the absence of incoming fronts or increased cloudiness through the 24-hour period. Updated model guidance tomorrow morning will further refine the precise peak.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Milan on September 20?
Highest temperature in Milan on September 20?
27°C 68%
28°C 18%
26°C 17%
25°C 2%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 20, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
17%
27°C
68%
28°C
18%
29°C or higher
1%
27°C 68%
28°C 18%
26°C 17%
25°C 2%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 20, 2026
19°C or below
$1,221 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$30 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$30 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$30 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$45 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$399 Обс.
1%
25°C
$327 Обс.
2%
26°C
$1,483 Обс.
17%
27°C
$3,704 Обс.
68%
28°C
$919 Обс.
18%
29°C or higher
$209 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF show a high-pressure ridge maintaining mostly clear to partly cloudy skies over Milan on September 20, supporting efficient daytime heating with light southwesterly winds.** This setup favors a daily maximum near 26–28 °C (79–82 °F), consistent with the market’s heavy weighting toward 27 °C (67.5 % implied probability).
Current conditions on September 19 feature sunny skies and highs around 25–26 °C under similar stable high pressure (around 1022–1025 hPa), providing a warm starting point with minimal overnight cooling. September climatology for Milan places average highs near 24–26 °C, so the expected outcome sits slightly above the seasonal norm but within normal variability for late-summer anticyclonic flow.
Model consensus across multiple runs points to peak temperatures occurring in the afternoon under broken cloud cover that does not significantly suppress insolation. The modest probabilities assigned to 26 °C and 28 °C reflect typical forecast uncertainty in exact maximum values, while lower outcomes remain improbable given the absence of incoming fronts or increased cloudiness through the 24-hour period. Updated model guidance tomorrow morning will further refine the precise peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$8,397Дата завершення
Sep 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF show a high-pressure ridge maintaining mostly clear to partly cloudy skies over Milan on September 20, supporting efficient daytime heating with light southwesterly winds.** This setup favors a daily maximum near 26–28 °C (79–82 °F), consistent with the market’s heavy weighting toward 27 °C (67.5 % implied probability).
Current conditions on September 19 feature sunny skies and highs around 25–26 °C under similar stable high pressure (around 1022–1025 hPa), providing a warm starting point with minimal overnight cooling. September climatology for Milan places average highs near 24–26 °C, so the expected outcome sits slightly above the seasonal norm but within normal variability for late-summer anticyclonic flow.
Model consensus across multiple runs points to peak temperatures occurring in the afternoon under broken cloud cover that does not significantly suppress insolation. The modest probabilities assigned to 26 °C and 28 °C reflect typical forecast uncertainty in exact maximum values, while lower outcomes remain improbable given the absence of incoming fronts or increased cloudiness through the 24-hour period. Updated model guidance tomorrow morning will further refine the precise peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$8,397Дата завершення
Sep 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF show a high-pressure ridge maintaining mostly clear to partly cloudy skies over Milan on September 20, supporting efficient daytime heating with light southwesterly winds.** This setup favors a daily maximum near 26–28 °C (79–82 °F), consistent with the market’s heavy weighting toward 27 °C (67.5 % implied probability). Current conditions on September 19 feature sunny skies and highs around 25–26 °C under similar stable high pressure (around 1022–1025 hPa), providing a warm starting point with minimal overnight cooling. September climatology for Milan places average highs near 24–26 °C, so the expected outcome sits slightly above the seasonal norm but within normal variability for late-summer anticyclonic flow. Model consensus across multiple runs points to peak temperatures occurring in the afternoon under broken cloud cover that does not significantly suppress insolation. The modest probabilities assigned to 26 °C and 28 °C reflect typical forecast uncertainty in exact maximum values, while lower outcomes remain improbable given the absence of incoming fronts or increased cloudiness through the 24-hour period. Updated model guidance tomorrow morning will further refine the precise peak.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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