A sharp cold front and strengthening southwesterly winds are driving forecast uncertainty for Buenos Aires overnight lows on September 21, splitting trader sentiment nearly evenly between 17°C or higher (44.0%) and 7°C or below (43.5%). Official guidance from agencies like the National Weather Service equivalents shows model divergence: some runs project rapid advection of cooler polar air under clearing skies after daytime showers, enabling strong radiative cooling and lows near 5–9°C, while others anticipate more mixing from gusty 20–40 km/h winds that could hold temperatures above 11°C. Historical September climatology places typical minima around 8–12°C, but the current setup’s pressure gradient and dew-point drops add volatility. Updated model runs and surface observations tonight will likely resolve the spread before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 21?
17°C or higher 87%
7°C or below 86%
10°C 37%
8°C 25%
7°C or below
86%
8°C
25%
9°C
25%
10°C
37%
11°C
19%
12°C
19%
13°C
15%
14°C
5%
15°C
13%
16°C
5%
17°C or higher
87%
17°C or higher 87%
7°C or below 86%
10°C 37%
8°C 25%
7°C or below
86%
8°C
25%
9°C
25%
10°C
37%
11°C
19%
12°C
19%
13°C
15%
14°C
5%
15°C
13%
16°C
5%
17°C or higher
87%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 19, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...A sharp cold front and strengthening southwesterly winds are driving forecast uncertainty for Buenos Aires overnight lows on September 21, splitting trader sentiment nearly evenly between 17°C or higher (44.0%) and 7°C or below (43.5%). Official guidance from agencies like the National Weather Service equivalents shows model divergence: some runs project rapid advection of cooler polar air under clearing skies after daytime showers, enabling strong radiative cooling and lows near 5–9°C, while others anticipate more mixing from gusty 20–40 km/h winds that could hold temperatures above 11°C. Historical September climatology places typical minima around 8–12°C, but the current setup’s pressure gradient and dew-point drops add volatility. Updated model runs and surface observations tonight will likely resolve the spread before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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