Recent forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and GFS consensus indicate a peak temperature near 31°C in Madrid today under clear skies and high pressure near 1026 hPa, with light easterly winds limiting mixing and allowing strong daytime heating. Afternoon observations have climbed steadily from morning lows around 17°C toward 29–30°C by early afternoon, aligning with typical late-September patterns where solar insolation remains high but seasonal cooling trends moderate extremes. The market's concentration on 31–32°C reflects this stable, dry anticyclonic setup with minimal cloud cover expected to persist through peak heating hours, though any slight model shift in boundary-layer moisture could adjust the final maximum by 1°C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Madrid on September 20?
Highest temperature in Madrid on September 20?
31°C 58%
32°C 34%
30°C 10%
29°C <1%
$38,974 Обс.
$38,974 Обс.
Sep 20, 2026
25°C or below
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
10%
31°C
58%
32°C
34%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 58%
32°C 34%
30°C 10%
29°C <1%
$38,974 Обс.
$38,974 Обс.
Sep 20, 2026
25°C or below
$11,534 Обс.
1%
26°C
$1,350 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$1,625 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$663 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$1,315 Обс.
1%
30°C
$3,665 Обс.
10%
31°C
$7,652 Обс.
58%
32°C
$7,594 Обс.
34%
33°C
$1,537 Обс.
1%
34°C
$867 Обс.
<1%
35°C or higher
$1,173 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and GFS consensus indicate a peak temperature near 31°C in Madrid today under clear skies and high pressure near 1026 hPa, with light easterly winds limiting mixing and allowing strong daytime heating. Afternoon observations have climbed steadily from morning lows around 17°C toward 29–30°C by early afternoon, aligning with typical late-September patterns where solar insolation remains high but seasonal cooling trends moderate extremes. The market's concentration on 31–32°C reflects this stable, dry anticyclonic setup with minimal cloud cover expected to persist through peak heating hours, though any slight model shift in boundary-layer moisture could adjust the final maximum by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$38,974Дата завершення
Sep 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and GFS consensus indicate a peak temperature near 31°C in Madrid today under clear skies and high pressure near 1026 hPa, with light easterly winds limiting mixing and allowing strong daytime heating. Afternoon observations have climbed steadily from morning lows around 17°C toward 29–30°C by early afternoon, aligning with typical late-September patterns where solar insolation remains high but seasonal cooling trends moderate extremes. The market's concentration on 31–32°C reflects this stable, dry anticyclonic setup with minimal cloud cover expected to persist through peak heating hours, though any slight model shift in boundary-layer moisture could adjust the final maximum by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$38,974Дата завершення
Sep 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and GFS consensus indicate a peak temperature near 31°C in Madrid today under clear skies and high pressure near 1026 hPa, with light easterly winds limiting mixing and allowing strong daytime heating. Afternoon observations have climbed steadily from morning lows around 17°C toward 29–30°C by early afternoon, aligning with typical late-September patterns where solar insolation remains high but seasonal cooling trends moderate extremes. The market's concentration on 31–32°C reflects this stable, dry anticyclonic setup with minimal cloud cover expected to persist through peak heating hours, though any slight model shift in boundary-layer moisture could adjust the final maximum by 1°C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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