Persistent southwest monsoon flow and associated thunderstorms are capping daytime heating in Manila ahead of September 22, with PAGASA forecasts showing partly cloudy to cloudy skies, isolated to scattered rainshowers, and highs generally in the 30–34 °C range. High humidity, widespread cloud cover, and convective activity limit solar insolation and prevent extreme maxima, aligning with climatological September averages near 32 °C. Recent model runs and official outlooks emphasize light-to-moderate southwest winds and frequent precipitation, which traders interpret as favoring 32–33 °C outcomes (combined ~71.5 % implied probability). Updated PAGASA briefings and short-range model consensus on storm timing will likely drive any near-term shifts in these market-implied odds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Manila on September 22?
Highest temperature in Manila on September 22?
32°C 44%
31°C 34%
33°C 28%
29°C 18%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 22, 2026
28°C or below
12%
29°C
18%
30°C
18%
31°C
34%
32°C
44%
33°C
28%
34°C
17%
35°C
14%
36°C
4%
37°C
2%
38°C or higher
1%
32°C 44%
31°C 34%
33°C 28%
29°C 18%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 22, 2026
28°C or below
$0 Обс.
12%
29°C
$0 Обс.
18%
30°C
$5 Обс.
18%
31°C
$0 Обс.
34%
32°C
$313 Обс.
44%
33°C
$115 Обс.
28%
34°C
$0 Обс.
17%
35°C
$0 Обс.
14%
36°C
$0 Обс.
4%
37°C
$0 Обс.
2%
38°C or higher
$11 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon flow and associated thunderstorms are capping daytime heating in Manila ahead of September 22, with PAGASA forecasts showing partly cloudy to cloudy skies, isolated to scattered rainshowers, and highs generally in the 30–34 °C range. High humidity, widespread cloud cover, and convective activity limit solar insolation and prevent extreme maxima, aligning with climatological September averages near 32 °C. Recent model runs and official outlooks emphasize light-to-moderate southwest winds and frequent precipitation, which traders interpret as favoring 32–33 °C outcomes (combined ~71.5 % implied probability). Updated PAGASA briefings and short-range model consensus on storm timing will likely drive any near-term shifts in these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 20, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Обсяг
$444Дата завершення
Sep 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 20, 2026, 12:59 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon flow and associated thunderstorms are capping daytime heating in Manila ahead of September 22, with PAGASA forecasts showing partly cloudy to cloudy skies, isolated to scattered rainshowers, and highs generally in the 30–34 °C range. High humidity, widespread cloud cover, and convective activity limit solar insolation and prevent extreme maxima, aligning with climatological September averages near 32 °C. Recent model runs and official outlooks emphasize light-to-moderate southwest winds and frequent precipitation, which traders interpret as favoring 32–33 °C outcomes (combined ~71.5 % implied probability). Updated PAGASA briefings and short-range model consensus on storm timing will likely drive any near-term shifts in these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$444Дата завершення
Sep 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 20, 2026, 12:59 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon flow and associated thunderstorms are capping daytime heating in Manila ahead of September 22, with PAGASA forecasts showing partly cloudy to cloudy skies, isolated to scattered rainshowers, and highs generally in the 30–34 °C range. High humidity, widespread cloud cover, and convective activity limit solar insolation and prevent extreme maxima, aligning with climatological September averages near 32 °C. Recent model runs and official outlooks emphasize light-to-moderate southwest winds and frequent precipitation, which traders interpret as favoring 32–33 °C outcomes (combined ~71.5 % implied probability). Updated PAGASA briefings and short-range model consensus on storm timing will likely drive any near-term shifts in these market-implied odds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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