Current forecasts from meteorological models and real-time observations indicate a daily high of 28°C in Shanghai, driven by northeasterly winds, partly cloudy skies, and moderate humidity levels near 60 percent that limit daytime heating. Official agency guidance and ensemble model runs show consistency around this threshold, aligning with late-September climatology where highs typically range 27–30°C. Trader consensus at 96.5 percent for 28°C reflects this data convergence and the market's resolution criteria tied to verified maximum readings. Minor upward revisions remain possible if afternoon clearing intensifies solar heating or if station-specific measurements exceed model outputs by 1–2°C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Shanghai on September 20?
28°C 98%
29°C 4%
30°C <1%
25°C or below <1%
$51,471 Обс.
$51,471 Обс.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
98%
29°C
4%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
28°C 98%
29°C 4%
30°C <1%
25°C or below <1%
$51,471 Обс.
$51,471 Обс.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
98%
29°C
4%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from meteorological models and real-time observations indicate a daily high of 28°C in Shanghai, driven by northeasterly winds, partly cloudy skies, and moderate humidity levels near 60 percent that limit daytime heating. Official agency guidance and ensemble model runs show consistency around this threshold, aligning with late-September climatology where highs typically range 27–30°C. Trader consensus at 96.5 percent for 28°C reflects this data convergence and the market's resolution criteria tied to verified maximum readings. Minor upward revisions remain possible if afternoon clearing intensifies solar heating or if station-specific measurements exceed model outputs by 1–2°C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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