Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate fine, dry conditions on September 19 under an anticyclone aloft, with easterly to northeasterly winds of force 3-4 and a projected temperature range of 27-33°C driven by strong daytime solar heating and minimal cloud cover. This setup favors peak temperatures near the upper end of historical September norms, though recent model runs and regional observations show slight moderation from very hot daytime maxima. Trader consensus centers on 31-33°C, with 32°C at 47.5% implied probability, as markets weigh the official 33°C guidance against potential minor shortfalls from wind effects or station-specific measurements. Low rain risk and high UV indices reinforce the warm bias ahead of the day's resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 19?
32°C 48%
31°C 34%
33°C 14%
30°C 5%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
5%
31°C
34%
32°C
48%
33°C
14%
34°C
3%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 48%
31°C 34%
33°C 14%
30°C 5%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
5%
31°C
34%
32°C
48%
33°C
14%
34°C
3%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate fine, dry conditions on September 19 under an anticyclone aloft, with easterly to northeasterly winds of force 3-4 and a projected temperature range of 27-33°C driven by strong daytime solar heating and minimal cloud cover. This setup favors peak temperatures near the upper end of historical September norms, though recent model runs and regional observations show slight moderation from very hot daytime maxima. Trader consensus centers on 31-33°C, with 32°C at 47.5% implied probability, as markets weigh the official 33°C guidance against potential minor shortfalls from wind effects or station-specific measurements. Low rain risk and high UV indices reinforce the warm bias ahead of the day's resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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