Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicate a September 20 maximum in Ankara near 24–25°C, reflecting typical early-autumn conditions with moderate northeasterly flow, limited moisture, and partly cloudy skies that permit sufficient daytime heating without excessive accumulation. Ensemble spreads and minor discrepancies in boundary-layer mixing and cloud timing create the tight market split between these two outcomes, while historical climatology for the date centers around 24°C. Traders are weighting recent stable runs and the absence of disruptive synoptic features, with resolution hinging on official station observations and any final forecast adjustments from regional meteorological agencies over the next 48 hours.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Ankara on September 20?
Highest temperature in Ankara on September 20?
24°C 39%
25°C 37%
26°C 16%
23°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 20, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
6%
23°C
11%
24°C
39%
25°C
37%
26°C
16%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 39%
25°C 37%
26°C 16%
23°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 20, 2026
20°C or below
$38 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$5 Обс.
2%
22°C
$44 Обс.
6%
23°C
$83 Обс.
11%
24°C
$269 Обс.
39%
25°C
$199 Обс.
37%
26°C
$242 Обс.
16%
27°C
$50 Обс.
2%
28°C
$110 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$125 Обс.
<1%
30°C or higher
$181 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicate a September 20 maximum in Ankara near 24–25°C, reflecting typical early-autumn conditions with moderate northeasterly flow, limited moisture, and partly cloudy skies that permit sufficient daytime heating without excessive accumulation. Ensemble spreads and minor discrepancies in boundary-layer mixing and cloud timing create the tight market split between these two outcomes, while historical climatology for the date centers around 24°C. Traders are weighting recent stable runs and the absence of disruptive synoptic features, with resolution hinging on official station observations and any final forecast adjustments from regional meteorological agencies over the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,347Дата завершення
Sep 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicate a September 20 maximum in Ankara near 24–25°C, reflecting typical early-autumn conditions with moderate northeasterly flow, limited moisture, and partly cloudy skies that permit sufficient daytime heating without excessive accumulation. Ensemble spreads and minor discrepancies in boundary-layer mixing and cloud timing create the tight market split between these two outcomes, while historical climatology for the date centers around 24°C. Traders are weighting recent stable runs and the absence of disruptive synoptic features, with resolution hinging on official station observations and any final forecast adjustments from regional meteorological agencies over the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,347Дата завершення
Sep 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicate a September 20 maximum in Ankara near 24–25°C, reflecting typical early-autumn conditions with moderate northeasterly flow, limited moisture, and partly cloudy skies that permit sufficient daytime heating without excessive accumulation. Ensemble spreads and minor discrepancies in boundary-layer mixing and cloud timing create the tight market split between these two outcomes, while historical climatology for the date centers around 24°C. Traders are weighting recent stable runs and the absence of disruptive synoptic features, with resolution hinging on official station observations and any final forecast adjustments from regional meteorological agencies over the next 48 hours.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання