Forecast models from agencies including the ECMWF and GFS indicate Ankara's September 18 high will likely reach 21–23 °C, with trader-implied odds clustered tightly around these values due to lingering morning showers, extensive cloud cover, and northerly flow that limits afternoon insolation. High humidity near 70–90 % and light winds further suppress peak temperatures compared with clearer September climatology. Key variables separating 21 °C from 23 °C outcomes include the precise timing of any afternoon clearing and small differences in model-resolved boundary-layer mixing; earlier breaks in cloud could allow brief warming toward 23 °C, while persistent overcast would cap readings nearer 21 °C. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 24 hours will refine these thresholds before market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Ankara on September 18?
Highest temperature in Ankara on September 18?
22°C 39%
23°C 30%
21°C 22%
24°C 13%
НОВЕ
$15,441 Обс.
НОВЕ
$15,441 Обс.
Sep 18, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
22%
22°C
39%
23°C
30%
24°C
13%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 39%
23°C 30%
21°C 22%
24°C 13%
НОВЕ
$15,441 Обс.
НОВЕ
$15,441 Обс.
Sep 18, 2026
17°C or below
$503 Обс.
<1%
18°C
$373 Обс.
<1%
19°C
$438 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$803 Обс.
2%
21°C
$2,950 Обс.
22%
22°C
$1,839 Обс.
39%
23°C
$2,629 Обс.
30%
24°C
$3,342 Обс.
13%
25°C
$1,244 Обс.
1%
26°C
$1,073 Обс.
<1%
27°C or higher
$307 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the ECMWF and GFS indicate Ankara's September 18 high will likely reach 21–23 °C, with trader-implied odds clustered tightly around these values due to lingering morning showers, extensive cloud cover, and northerly flow that limits afternoon insolation. High humidity near 70–90 % and light winds further suppress peak temperatures compared with clearer September climatology. Key variables separating 21 °C from 23 °C outcomes include the precise timing of any afternoon clearing and small differences in model-resolved boundary-layer mixing; earlier breaks in cloud could allow brief warming toward 23 °C, while persistent overcast would cap readings nearer 21 °C. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 24 hours will refine these thresholds before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$15,441Дата завершення
Sep 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the ECMWF and GFS indicate Ankara's September 18 high will likely reach 21–23 °C, with trader-implied odds clustered tightly around these values due to lingering morning showers, extensive cloud cover, and northerly flow that limits afternoon insolation. High humidity near 70–90 % and light winds further suppress peak temperatures compared with clearer September climatology. Key variables separating 21 °C from 23 °C outcomes include the precise timing of any afternoon clearing and small differences in model-resolved boundary-layer mixing; earlier breaks in cloud could allow brief warming toward 23 °C, while persistent overcast would cap readings nearer 21 °C. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 24 hours will refine these thresholds before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$15,441Дата завершення
Sep 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including the ECMWF and GFS indicate Ankara's September 18 high will likely reach 21–23 °C, with trader-implied odds clustered tightly around these values due to lingering morning showers, extensive cloud cover, and northerly flow that limits afternoon insolation. High humidity near 70–90 % and light winds further suppress peak temperatures compared with clearer September climatology. Key variables separating 21 °C from 23 °C outcomes include the precise timing of any afternoon clearing and small differences in model-resolved boundary-layer mixing; earlier breaks in cloud could allow brief warming toward 23 °C, while persistent overcast would cap readings nearer 21 °C. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 24 hours will refine these thresholds before market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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