Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance indicate overnight lows in the low to mid-50s°F for Seattle on September 22 under mostly cloudy skies and light easterly winds, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 52–57°F. Key differentiating factors include variable cloud cover that modulates radiative cooling rates, with clearer periods potentially allowing temperatures to dip toward 52–53°F while persistent stratus keeps readings nearer 56–57°F. Dew points near 50°F and minimal wind mixing further constrain the range, consistent with climatological September minima around 52°F. Updated NWS model runs and local observations tonight will refine resolution thresholds for this time-sensitive market.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Seattle on September 22?
Lowest temperature in Seattle on September 22?
56-57°F 40%
54-55°F 30%
52-53°F 22%
50-51°F 21%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 22, 2026
47°F or below
2%
48-49°F
9%
50-51°F
21%
52-53°F
22%
54-55°F
30%
56-57°F
31%
58-59°F
20%
60-61°F
9%
62-63°F
6%
64-65°F
2%
66°F or higher
2%
56-57°F 40%
54-55°F 30%
52-53°F 22%
50-51°F 21%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 22, 2026
47°F or below
$10 Обс.
2%
48-49°F
$10 Обс.
9%
50-51°F
$0 Обс.
21%
52-53°F
$0 Обс.
22%
54-55°F
$0 Обс.
30%
56-57°F
$5 Обс.
31%
58-59°F
$206 Обс.
20%
60-61°F
$10 Обс.
9%
62-63°F
$10 Обс.
6%
64-65°F
$10 Обс.
2%
66°F or higher
$10 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance indicate overnight lows in the low to mid-50s°F for Seattle on September 22 under mostly cloudy skies and light easterly winds, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 52–57°F. Key differentiating factors include variable cloud cover that modulates radiative cooling rates, with clearer periods potentially allowing temperatures to dip toward 52–53°F while persistent stratus keeps readings nearer 56–57°F. Dew points near 50°F and minimal wind mixing further constrain the range, consistent with climatological September minima around 52°F. Updated NWS model runs and local observations tonight will refine resolution thresholds for this time-sensitive market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 20, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$271Дата завершення
Sep 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 20, 2026, 7:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance indicate overnight lows in the low to mid-50s°F for Seattle on September 22 under mostly cloudy skies and light easterly winds, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 52–57°F. Key differentiating factors include variable cloud cover that modulates radiative cooling rates, with clearer periods potentially allowing temperatures to dip toward 52–53°F while persistent stratus keeps readings nearer 56–57°F. Dew points near 50°F and minimal wind mixing further constrain the range, consistent with climatological September minima around 52°F. Updated NWS model runs and local observations tonight will refine resolution thresholds for this time-sensitive market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$271Дата завершення
Sep 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 20, 2026, 7:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance indicate overnight lows in the low to mid-50s°F for Seattle on September 22 under mostly cloudy skies and light easterly winds, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 52–57°F. Key differentiating factors include variable cloud cover that modulates radiative cooling rates, with clearer periods potentially allowing temperatures to dip toward 52–53°F while persistent stratus keeps readings nearer 56–57°F. Dew points near 50°F and minimal wind mixing further constrain the range, consistent with climatological September minima around 52°F. Updated NWS model runs and local observations tonight will refine resolution thresholds for this time-sensitive market.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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