Persistent heavy rain and strong northeasterly winds from an approaching low-pressure system, including influences from Typhoon 25, are suppressing daytime heating in Tokyo on September 21. Official Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a maximum of 25–27°C under near-total cloud cover and widespread precipitation exceeding 100 mm in many runs. These conditions align closely with historical late-September averages near 26°C but limit upside potential from clearer, warmer scenarios. Trader consensus on 26°C as the modal outcome reflects this stable, rain-dominated pattern, with modest probabilities on 25°C or 27°C hinging on exact timing of peak rainfall and minor model adjustments ahead of the day’s resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Tokyo on September 21?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 21?
26°C 37%
27°C 23%
25°C 22%
24°C 13%
НОВЕ
$13,958 Обс.
НОВЕ
$13,958 Обс.
Sep 21, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
5%
24°C
13%
25°C
22%
26°C
37%
27°C
23%
28°C
6%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
1%
26°C 37%
27°C 23%
25°C 22%
24°C 13%
НОВЕ
$13,958 Обс.
НОВЕ
$13,958 Обс.
Sep 21, 2026
20°C or below
$111 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$583 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$387 Обс.
1%
23°C
$1,826 Обс.
5%
24°C
$2,693 Обс.
13%
25°C
$1,596 Обс.
22%
26°C
$2,322 Обс.
37%
27°C
$1,786 Обс.
23%
28°C
$1,191 Обс.
6%
29°C
$394 Обс.
<1%
30°C or higher
$1,068 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent heavy rain and strong northeasterly winds from an approaching low-pressure system, including influences from Typhoon 25, are suppressing daytime heating in Tokyo on September 21. Official Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a maximum of 25–27°C under near-total cloud cover and widespread precipitation exceeding 100 mm in many runs. These conditions align closely with historical late-September averages near 26°C but limit upside potential from clearer, warmer scenarios. Trader consensus on 26°C as the modal outcome reflects this stable, rain-dominated pattern, with modest probabilities on 25°C or 27°C hinging on exact timing of peak rainfall and minor model adjustments ahead of the day’s resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$13,958Дата завершення
Sep 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent heavy rain and strong northeasterly winds from an approaching low-pressure system, including influences from Typhoon 25, are suppressing daytime heating in Tokyo on September 21. Official Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a maximum of 25–27°C under near-total cloud cover and widespread precipitation exceeding 100 mm in many runs. These conditions align closely with historical late-September averages near 26°C but limit upside potential from clearer, warmer scenarios. Trader consensus on 26°C as the modal outcome reflects this stable, rain-dominated pattern, with modest probabilities on 25°C or 27°C hinging on exact timing of peak rainfall and minor model adjustments ahead of the day’s resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$13,958Дата завершення
Sep 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Persistent heavy rain and strong northeasterly winds from an approaching low-pressure system, including influences from Typhoon 25, are suppressing daytime heating in Tokyo on September 21. Official Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a maximum of 25–27°C under near-total cloud cover and widespread precipitation exceeding 100 mm in many runs. These conditions align closely with historical late-September averages near 26°C but limit upside potential from clearer, warmer scenarios. Trader consensus on 26°C as the modal outcome reflects this stable, rain-dominated pattern, with modest probabilities on 25°C or 27°C hinging on exact timing of peak rainfall and minor model adjustments ahead of the day’s resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання