**Forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF project a daily minimum temperature in Milan of roughly 18–20°C on September 21, driven by light northeasterly winds, high humidity near 60–70%, and variable cloud cover that limits strong radiative cooling overnight.** Historical September averages place typical lows near 16°C, so current conditions sit slightly above the climatological baseline. The market’s elevated implied probability on 10°C or below alongside clustered interest near 16–18°C reflects trader assessment of model spread, potential for clearer skies enhancing nocturnal cooling, and resolution criteria tied to official station readings. Upcoming hourly updates from Italian meteorological services and final 24-hour minimum confirmation will determine whether temperatures track the warmer consensus or shift lower under altered atmospheric conditions.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Milan on September 21?
Lowest temperature in Milan on September 21?
10°C or below 100%
14°C 86%
15°C 86%
17°C 44%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 21, 2026
10°C or below
100%
11°C
9%
12°C
4%
13°C
16%
14°C
86%
15°C
86%
16°C
44%
17°C
44%
18°C
44%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
10°C or below 100%
14°C 86%
15°C 86%
17°C 44%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 21, 2026
10°C or below
$0 Обс.
100%
11°C
$0 Обс.
9%
12°C
$0 Обс.
4%
13°C
$0 Обс.
16%
14°C
$0 Обс.
86%
15°C
$0 Обс.
86%
16°C
$0 Обс.
44%
17°C
$0 Обс.
44%
18°C
$0 Обс.
44%
19°C
$0 Обс.
<1%
20°C or higher
$15 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF project a daily minimum temperature in Milan of roughly 18–20°C on September 21, driven by light northeasterly winds, high humidity near 60–70%, and variable cloud cover that limits strong radiative cooling overnight.** Historical September averages place typical lows near 16°C, so current conditions sit slightly above the climatological baseline. The market’s elevated implied probability on 10°C or below alongside clustered interest near 16–18°C reflects trader assessment of model spread, potential for clearer skies enhancing nocturnal cooling, and resolution criteria tied to official station readings. Upcoming hourly updates from Italian meteorological services and final 24-hour minimum confirmation will determine whether temperatures track the warmer consensus or shift lower under altered atmospheric conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$15Дата завершення
Sep 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF project a daily minimum temperature in Milan of roughly 18–20°C on September 21, driven by light northeasterly winds, high humidity near 60–70%, and variable cloud cover that limits strong radiative cooling overnight.** Historical September averages place typical lows near 16°C, so current conditions sit slightly above the climatological baseline. The market’s elevated implied probability on 10°C or below alongside clustered interest near 16–18°C reflects trader assessment of model spread, potential for clearer skies enhancing nocturnal cooling, and resolution criteria tied to official station readings. Upcoming hourly updates from Italian meteorological services and final 24-hour minimum confirmation will determine whether temperatures track the warmer consensus or shift lower under altered atmospheric conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$15Дата завершення
Sep 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF project a daily minimum temperature in Milan of roughly 18–20°C on September 21, driven by light northeasterly winds, high humidity near 60–70%, and variable cloud cover that limits strong radiative cooling overnight.** Historical September averages place typical lows near 16°C, so current conditions sit slightly above the climatological baseline. The market’s elevated implied probability on 10°C or below alongside clustered interest near 16–18°C reflects trader assessment of model spread, potential for clearer skies enhancing nocturnal cooling, and resolution criteria tied to official station readings. Upcoming hourly updates from Italian meteorological services and final 24-hour minimum confirmation will determine whether temperatures track the warmer consensus or shift lower under altered atmospheric conditions.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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