Forecast models from sources like GFS and ECMWF currently indicate overnight lows of 13–15°C for Amsterdam on September 23, driven by a mild southwesterly flow, high pressure, and increasing cloud cover with light rain that limits radiational cooling. This setup contrasts with the climatological average low near 10°C and creates uncertainty around exact minimums, as clearer intervals or stronger winds could allow temperatures to dip several degrees lower. Trader sentiment remains closely split between outcomes above 17°C and 7°C or below because short-range ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to timing of frontal passage and boundary-layer moisture, with new model runs expected to refine the overnight cooling potential.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Amsterdam on September 23?
17°C or higher 76%
7°C or below 72%
13°C 25%
11°C 23%
7°C or below
72%
8°C
13%
9°C
3%
10°C
18%
11°C
23%
12°C
23%
13°C
25%
14°C
21%
15°C
20%
16°C
20%
17°C or higher
76%
17°C or higher 76%
7°C or below 72%
13°C 25%
11°C 23%
7°C or below
72%
8°C
13%
9°C
3%
10°C
18%
11°C
23%
12°C
23%
13°C
25%
14°C
21%
15°C
20%
16°C
20%
17°C or higher
76%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like GFS and ECMWF currently indicate overnight lows of 13–15°C for Amsterdam on September 23, driven by a mild southwesterly flow, high pressure, and increasing cloud cover with light rain that limits radiational cooling. This setup contrasts with the climatological average low near 10°C and creates uncertainty around exact minimums, as clearer intervals or stronger winds could allow temperatures to dip several degrees lower. Trader sentiment remains closely split between outcomes above 17°C and 7°C or below because short-range ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to timing of frontal passage and boundary-layer moisture, with new model runs expected to refine the overnight cooling potential.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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