Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a minimum temperature of 27°C for September 22, with a range of 27–31°C under mainly cloudy skies and scattered showers driven by weak easterly winds and upper-air disturbances. This aligns with the market's leading 27°C outcome at 46.5% implied probability, reflecting model consensus on stable subtropical conditions without significant cooling influences. Recent September observations show overnight lows consistently in the mid-20s amid an emerging El Niño pattern favoring above-normal warmth, while the 31% probability on 22°C or below captures residual uncertainty from potential shower-induced dips or forecast revisions. No major tropical systems or cold fronts are expected in the immediate window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 22?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 22?
22°C or below 61%
27°C 47%
25°C 40%
26°C 40%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 22, 2026
22°C or below
61%
23°C
22%
24°C
28%
25°C
40%
26°C
40%
27°C
47%
28°C
20%
29°C
20%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
22°C or below 61%
27°C 47%
25°C 40%
26°C 40%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 22, 2026
22°C or below
$0 Обс.
61%
23°C
$0 Обс.
22%
24°C
$0 Обс.
28%
25°C
$0 Обс.
40%
26°C
$0 Обс.
40%
27°C
$42 Обс.
47%
28°C
$331 Обс.
20%
29°C
$0 Обс.
20%
30°C
$0 Обс.
1%
31°C
$0 Обс.
1%
32°C or higher
$0 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a minimum temperature of 27°C for September 22, with a range of 27–31°C under mainly cloudy skies and scattered showers driven by weak easterly winds and upper-air disturbances. This aligns with the market's leading 27°C outcome at 46.5% implied probability, reflecting model consensus on stable subtropical conditions without significant cooling influences. Recent September observations show overnight lows consistently in the mid-20s amid an emerging El Niño pattern favoring above-normal warmth, while the 31% probability on 22°C or below captures residual uncertainty from potential shower-induced dips or forecast revisions. No major tropical systems or cold fronts are expected in the immediate window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$373Дата завершення
Sep 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a minimum temperature of 27°C for September 22, with a range of 27–31°C under mainly cloudy skies and scattered showers driven by weak easterly winds and upper-air disturbances. This aligns with the market's leading 27°C outcome at 46.5% implied probability, reflecting model consensus on stable subtropical conditions without significant cooling influences. Recent September observations show overnight lows consistently in the mid-20s amid an emerging El Niño pattern favoring above-normal warmth, while the 31% probability on 22°C or below captures residual uncertainty from potential shower-induced dips or forecast revisions. No major tropical systems or cold fronts are expected in the immediate window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$373Дата завершення
Sep 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a minimum temperature of 27°C for September 22, with a range of 27–31°C under mainly cloudy skies and scattered showers driven by weak easterly winds and upper-air disturbances. This aligns with the market's leading 27°C outcome at 46.5% implied probability, reflecting model consensus on stable subtropical conditions without significant cooling influences. Recent September observations show overnight lows consistently in the mid-20s amid an emerging El Niño pattern favoring above-normal warmth, while the 31% probability on 22°C or below captures residual uncertainty from potential shower-induced dips or forecast revisions. No major tropical systems or cold fronts are expected in the immediate window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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