Traders see nearly equal odds for a 26°C or 27°C daily minimum in Hong Kong on September 18 because ensemble forecasts show only modest overnight cooling under typical late-summer conditions. Subtropical humidity and warm South China Sea waters limit radiative cooling, keeping the low near the seasonal average of 25–26°C, while variable cloud cover and light winds introduce small differences between model runs. A stronger northeast monsoon surge or increased rainfall could push readings toward 26°C or lower, whereas clearer skies would favor the 27°C outcome. The close split reflects genuine forecast uncertainty typical this time of year, with final resolution depending on official Hong Kong Observatory observations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 18?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 18?
27°C 47%
26°C 43%
23°C 8%
24°C 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 18, 2026
21°C or below
2%
22°C
3%
23°C
8%
24°C
8%
25°C
6%
26°C
43%
27°C
47%
28°C
3%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
27°C 47%
26°C 43%
23°C 8%
24°C 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 18, 2026
21°C or below
$0 Обс.
2%
22°C
$0 Обс.
3%
23°C
$0 Обс.
8%
24°C
$0 Обс.
8%
25°C
$140 Обс.
6%
26°C
$1,880 Обс.
43%
27°C
$598 Обс.
47%
28°C
$33 Обс.
3%
29°C
$0 Обс.
3%
30°C
$195 Обс.
1%
31°C or higher
$191 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders see nearly equal odds for a 26°C or 27°C daily minimum in Hong Kong on September 18 because ensemble forecasts show only modest overnight cooling under typical late-summer conditions. Subtropical humidity and warm South China Sea waters limit radiative cooling, keeping the low near the seasonal average of 25–26°C, while variable cloud cover and light winds introduce small differences between model runs. A stronger northeast monsoon surge or increased rainfall could push readings toward 26°C or lower, whereas clearer skies would favor the 27°C outcome. The close split reflects genuine forecast uncertainty typical this time of year, with final resolution depending on official Hong Kong Observatory observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$3,037Дата завершення
Sep 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders see nearly equal odds for a 26°C or 27°C daily minimum in Hong Kong on September 18 because ensemble forecasts show only modest overnight cooling under typical late-summer conditions. Subtropical humidity and warm South China Sea waters limit radiative cooling, keeping the low near the seasonal average of 25–26°C, while variable cloud cover and light winds introduce small differences between model runs. A stronger northeast monsoon surge or increased rainfall could push readings toward 26°C or lower, whereas clearer skies would favor the 27°C outcome. The close split reflects genuine forecast uncertainty typical this time of year, with final resolution depending on official Hong Kong Observatory observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$3,037Дата завершення
Sep 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Traders see nearly equal odds for a 26°C or 27°C daily minimum in Hong Kong on September 18 because ensemble forecasts show only modest overnight cooling under typical late-summer conditions. Subtropical humidity and warm South China Sea waters limit radiative cooling, keeping the low near the seasonal average of 25–26°C, while variable cloud cover and light winds introduce small differences between model runs. A stronger northeast monsoon surge or increased rainfall could push readings toward 26°C or lower, whereas clearer skies would favor the 27°C outcome. The close split reflects genuine forecast uncertainty typical this time of year, with final resolution depending on official Hong Kong Observatory observations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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