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Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 16?

icon for Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 16?

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 16?

Sep 16

Sep 17

Sep 18

Sep 16

Sep 17

Sep 18

27°C 94%

26°C 6%

25°C 2%

23°C 1.6%

Polymarket

$12,873 Обс.

27°C 94%

26°C 6%

25°C 2%

23°C 1.6%

Polymarket

$12,873 Обс.

21°C or below

$188 Обс.

<1%

22°C

$188 Обс.

<1%

23°C

$115 Обс.

2%

24°C

$613 Обс.

1%

25°C

$1,232 Обс.

2%

26°C

$2,967 Обс.

6%

27°C

$3,574 Обс.

94%

28°C

$1,623 Обс.

<1%

29°C

$28 Обс.

<1%

30°C

$1,172 Обс.

<1%

31°C or higher

$1,172 Обс.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**The dominant 92.5% market-implied odds for a 27°C minimum temperature in Hong Kong on September 16 reflect the Hong Kong Observatory’s official forecast of 27–31°C under the influence of a persistent northeast monsoon.** This setup delivers generally fine to partly cloudy conditions with low precipitation probability, moderate easterly winds, and reduced humidity overnight, aligning closely with recent surface observations and regional model consensus. Historical September climatology for the region supports overnight lows stabilizing near 27°C when monsoon flow suppresses cloud cover and moisture. A realistic challenge to this outcome would require greater-than-expected nocturnal cloud build-up or localized showers that enhance radiative cooling or evaporative effects, potentially allowing a brief dip toward 26°C before sunrise.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$12,873
Дата завершення
Sep 16, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET

Вирішувач

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**The dominant 92.5% market-implied odds for a 27°C minimum temperature in Hong Kong on September 16 reflect the Hong Kong Observatory’s official forecast of 27–31°C under the influence of a persistent northeast monsoon.** This setup delivers generally fine to partly cloudy conditions with low precipitation probability, moderate easterly winds, and reduced humidity overnight, aligning closely with recent surface observations and regional model consensus. Historical September climatology for the region supports overnight lows stabilizing near 27°C when monsoon flow suppresses cloud cover and moisture. A realistic challenge to this outcome would require greater-than-expected nocturnal cloud build-up or localized showers that enhance radiative cooling or evaporative effects, potentially allowing a brief dip toward 26°C before sunrise.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$12,873
Дата завершення
Sep 16, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET

Вирішувач

0x69c47De9D...

Пов'язане

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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 16?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 11 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «27°C» з 94%, далі «26°C» з 6%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 16?» згенерував $12.9K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Sep 14, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 16?», перегляньте 11 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 16?» — «27°C» з 94%. Наступний — «26°C» з 6%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 16?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.