Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts project a minimum temperature of 27°C on September 20, driven by a subtropical high-pressure ridge maintaining mostly clear skies, light easterly winds, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling amid elevated dew points near 24–25°C. Consistent model runs and recent observations showing overnight lows of 26–27°C reinforce this range, with traders assigning 51% implied probability to 27°C and 26.5% to 26°C. Any shift in steering flow or increased moisture could allow slightly cooler readings, though current conditions favor stability through the weekend. Updated HKO guidance and real-time station data will refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 20?
27°C 51%
26°C 27%
29°C 23%
22°C or below 19%
22°C or below
19%
23°C
19%
24°C
19%
25°C
11%
26°C
27%
27°C
51%
28°C
13%
29°C
23%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
27°C 51%
26°C 27%
29°C 23%
22°C or below 19%
22°C or below
19%
23°C
19%
24°C
19%
25°C
11%
26°C
27%
27°C
51%
28°C
13%
29°C
23%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts project a minimum temperature of 27°C on September 20, driven by a subtropical high-pressure ridge maintaining mostly clear skies, light easterly winds, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling amid elevated dew points near 24–25°C. Consistent model runs and recent observations showing overnight lows of 26–27°C reinforce this range, with traders assigning 51% implied probability to 27°C and 26.5% to 26°C. Any shift in steering flow or increased moisture could allow slightly cooler readings, though current conditions favor stability through the weekend. Updated HKO guidance and real-time station data will refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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