Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a northwest airflow and partly cloudy conditions over Warsaw on September 23, with overnight lows expected near 9–10°C and daytime highs around 15–16°C, limiting radiative cooling. Persistent moderate winds and residual moisture from prior days reduce the potential for sharp temperature drops, while the absence of strong high pressure or clear skies keeps extreme cold unlikely. At the same time, the transitional autumn pattern allows for possible warmer advection if steering currents shift. These factors create genuine uncertainty around the exact minimum, with new ECMWF and GFS runs providing key updates ahead of the date. Market odds reflect this balanced view of cooler versus milder outcomes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Warsaw on September 23?
Lowest temperature in Warsaw on September 23?
4°C or below 100%
14°C or higher 98%
9°C 44%
8°C 40%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 23, 2026
4°C or below
100%
5°C
39%
6°C
39%
7°C
39%
8°C
40%
9°C
24%
10°C
40%
11°C
39%
12°C
39%
13°C
39%
14°C or higher
98%
4°C or below 100%
14°C or higher 98%
9°C 44%
8°C 40%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 23, 2026
4°C or below
$0 Обс.
100%
5°C
$0 Обс.
39%
6°C
$0 Обс.
39%
7°C
$0 Обс.
39%
8°C
$0 Обс.
40%
9°C
$10 Обс.
24%
10°C
$0 Обс.
40%
11°C
$0 Обс.
39%
12°C
$0 Обс.
39%
13°C
$0 Обс.
39%
14°C or higher
$0 Обс.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a northwest airflow and partly cloudy conditions over Warsaw on September 23, with overnight lows expected near 9–10°C and daytime highs around 15–16°C, limiting radiative cooling. Persistent moderate winds and residual moisture from prior days reduce the potential for sharp temperature drops, while the absence of strong high pressure or clear skies keeps extreme cold unlikely. At the same time, the transitional autumn pattern allows for possible warmer advection if steering currents shift. These factors create genuine uncertainty around the exact minimum, with new ECMWF and GFS runs providing key updates ahead of the date. Market odds reflect this balanced view of cooler versus milder outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$10Дата завершення
Sep 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a northwest airflow and partly cloudy conditions over Warsaw on September 23, with overnight lows expected near 9–10°C and daytime highs around 15–16°C, limiting radiative cooling. Persistent moderate winds and residual moisture from prior days reduce the potential for sharp temperature drops, while the absence of strong high pressure or clear skies keeps extreme cold unlikely. At the same time, the transitional autumn pattern allows for possible warmer advection if steering currents shift. These factors create genuine uncertainty around the exact minimum, with new ECMWF and GFS runs providing key updates ahead of the date. Market odds reflect this balanced view of cooler versus milder outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$10Дата завершення
Sep 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a northwest airflow and partly cloudy conditions over Warsaw on September 23, with overnight lows expected near 9–10°C and daytime highs around 15–16°C, limiting radiative cooling. Persistent moderate winds and residual moisture from prior days reduce the potential for sharp temperature drops, while the absence of strong high pressure or clear skies keeps extreme cold unlikely. At the same time, the transitional autumn pattern allows for possible warmer advection if steering currents shift. These factors create genuine uncertainty around the exact minimum, with new ECMWF and GFS runs providing key updates ahead of the date. Market odds reflect this balanced view of cooler versus milder outcomes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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