Recent forecast models from sources including GFS data indicate the lowest temperature in Warsaw on September 21 will likely fall between 9–12°C, driven by persistent westerly winds, widespread showers, and reduced radiative cooling under cloudy skies. These conditions follow a cooler air mass advecting across central Europe, consistent with typical late-September patterns where daily minima average near 10°C. Market-implied odds favor 16°C or higher at 43% alongside notable support for 10°C (27.5%) and 6°C or below (24.5%), reflecting trader assessment of model spread and potential forecast revisions ahead of overnight observations. Key resolution factors include the precise minimum recorded at official stations, with incoming data from regional monitoring expected to clarify outcomes before market close.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Warsaw on September 21?
Lowest temperature in Warsaw on September 21?
16°C or higher 95%
6°C or below 49%
10°C 46%
12°C 40%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 21, 2026
6°C or below
49%
7°C
18%
8°C
9%
9°C
37%
10°C
26%
11°C
22%
12°C
40%
13°C
14%
14°C
12%
15°C
5%
16°C or higher
95%
16°C or higher 95%
6°C or below 49%
10°C 46%
12°C 40%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 21, 2026
6°C or below
$0 Обс.
49%
7°C
$0 Обс.
18%
8°C
$0 Обс.
9%
9°C
$0 Обс.
37%
10°C
$13 Обс.
26%
11°C
$0 Обс.
22%
12°C
$0 Обс.
40%
13°C
$0 Обс.
14%
14°C
$0 Обс.
12%
15°C
$0 Обс.
5%
16°C or higher
$0 Обс.
95%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including GFS data indicate the lowest temperature in Warsaw on September 21 will likely fall between 9–12°C, driven by persistent westerly winds, widespread showers, and reduced radiative cooling under cloudy skies. These conditions follow a cooler air mass advecting across central Europe, consistent with typical late-September patterns where daily minima average near 10°C. Market-implied odds favor 16°C or higher at 43% alongside notable support for 10°C (27.5%) and 6°C or below (24.5%), reflecting trader assessment of model spread and potential forecast revisions ahead of overnight observations. Key resolution factors include the precise minimum recorded at official stations, with incoming data from regional monitoring expected to clarify outcomes before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$13Дата завершення
Sep 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including GFS data indicate the lowest temperature in Warsaw on September 21 will likely fall between 9–12°C, driven by persistent westerly winds, widespread showers, and reduced radiative cooling under cloudy skies. These conditions follow a cooler air mass advecting across central Europe, consistent with typical late-September patterns where daily minima average near 10°C. Market-implied odds favor 16°C or higher at 43% alongside notable support for 10°C (27.5%) and 6°C or below (24.5%), reflecting trader assessment of model spread and potential forecast revisions ahead of overnight observations. Key resolution factors include the precise minimum recorded at official stations, with incoming data from regional monitoring expected to clarify outcomes before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$13Дата завершення
Sep 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources including GFS data indicate the lowest temperature in Warsaw on September 21 will likely fall between 9–12°C, driven by persistent westerly winds, widespread showers, and reduced radiative cooling under cloudy skies. These conditions follow a cooler air mass advecting across central Europe, consistent with typical late-September patterns where daily minima average near 10°C. Market-implied odds favor 16°C or higher at 43% alongside notable support for 10°C (27.5%) and 6°C or below (24.5%), reflecting trader assessment of model spread and potential forecast revisions ahead of overnight observations. Key resolution factors include the precise minimum recorded at official stations, with incoming data from regional monitoring expected to clarify outcomes before market close.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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