Recent National Weather Service and private model consensus points to a daily high in Dallas on September 18 near 97–100°F, driven by persistent southerly flow, mostly clear skies, and dew points supporting heat indices above 105°F. This aligns with the market’s strong weighting toward 98–99°F and 96–97°F outcomes, reflecting limited model spread and no significant frontal passage or cloud cover expected to suppress temperatures. The pattern matches a broader late-summer warm anomaly, with September 2026 averages already running several degrees above the long-term 93°F high. Traders are monitoring the final 24-hour forecast updates for any last adjustments in steering or boundary-layer moisture that could shift the peak by 1–2°F before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Dallas on September 18?
Highest temperature in Dallas on September 18?
98-99°F 54%
96-97°F 33%
100-101°F 12%
102-103°F 3%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 18, 2026
89°F or below
2%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
33%
98-99°F
54%
100-101°F
12%
102-103°F
3%
104-105°F
2%
106-107°F
1%
108°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 54%
96-97°F 33%
100-101°F 12%
102-103°F 3%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 18, 2026
89°F or below
$0 Обс.
2%
90-91°F
$5 Обс.
2%
92-93°F
$0 Обс.
2%
94-95°F
$20 Обс.
2%
96-97°F
$3,953 Обс.
33%
98-99°F
$3,832 Обс.
54%
100-101°F
$496 Обс.
12%
102-103°F
$0 Обс.
3%
104-105°F
$5 Обс.
2%
106-107°F
$62 Обс.
1%
108°F or higher
$116 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model consensus points to a daily high in Dallas on September 18 near 97–100°F, driven by persistent southerly flow, mostly clear skies, and dew points supporting heat indices above 105°F. This aligns with the market’s strong weighting toward 98–99°F and 96–97°F outcomes, reflecting limited model spread and no significant frontal passage or cloud cover expected to suppress temperatures. The pattern matches a broader late-summer warm anomaly, with September 2026 averages already running several degrees above the long-term 93°F high. Traders are monitoring the final 24-hour forecast updates for any last adjustments in steering or boundary-layer moisture that could shift the peak by 1–2°F before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 16, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$8,490Дата завершення
Sep 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 16, 2026, 3:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model consensus points to a daily high in Dallas on September 18 near 97–100°F, driven by persistent southerly flow, mostly clear skies, and dew points supporting heat indices above 105°F. This aligns with the market’s strong weighting toward 98–99°F and 96–97°F outcomes, reflecting limited model spread and no significant frontal passage or cloud cover expected to suppress temperatures. The pattern matches a broader late-summer warm anomaly, with September 2026 averages already running several degrees above the long-term 93°F high. Traders are monitoring the final 24-hour forecast updates for any last adjustments in steering or boundary-layer moisture that could shift the peak by 1–2°F before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$8,490Дата завершення
Sep 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 16, 2026, 3:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and private model consensus points to a daily high in Dallas on September 18 near 97–100°F, driven by persistent southerly flow, mostly clear skies, and dew points supporting heat indices above 105°F. This aligns with the market’s strong weighting toward 98–99°F and 96–97°F outcomes, reflecting limited model spread and no significant frontal passage or cloud cover expected to suppress temperatures. The pattern matches a broader late-summer warm anomaly, with September 2026 averages already running several degrees above the long-term 93°F high. Traders are monitoring the final 24-hour forecast updates for any last adjustments in steering or boundary-layer moisture that could shift the peak by 1–2°F before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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