**Forecast models and current conditions point to an overnight minimum in Paris on September 18, 2026, most likely in the 11–13°C range, which aligns with the closely bunched market-implied odds favoring 11°C and 12°C.** Westerly flow, light winds (5–8 mph / 8–13 km/h), and partly to mostly clear skies overnight promote radiative cooling, allowing surface temperatures to drop efficiently after sunset. Multiple model runs and station guidance show the low occurring in the pre-dawn hours, with values clustered around 12–13°C (roughly 54–55°F), though some guidance dips to 11°C or holds near 14°C depending on exact cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture. Recent days featured similar minima (around 12–14°C), providing a climatological baseline for mid-September under comparable synoptic patterns. The tight spread between leading outcomes reflects genuine uncertainty in the final observed low, driven by small differences in forecast cloud timing and wind speed that can shift the minimum by 1–2°C. New observational data through the early morning hours will be the key near-term catalyst for any market movement.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Paris on September 18?
Lowest temperature in Paris on September 18?
12°C 44%
14°C 40%
11°C 15%
10°C 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 18, 2026
7°C or below
2%
8°C
3%
9°C
3%
10°C
12%
11°C
22%
12°C
28%
13°C
11%
14°C
40%
15°C
2%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
12°C 44%
14°C 40%
11°C 15%
10°C 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 18, 2026
7°C or below
$0 Обс.
2%
8°C
$0 Обс.
3%
9°C
$0 Обс.
3%
10°C
$157 Обс.
12%
11°C
$2,119 Обс.
22%
12°C
$1,006 Обс.
28%
13°C
$545 Обс.
11%
14°C
$0 Обс.
40%
15°C
$0 Обс.
2%
16°C
$0 Обс.
<1%
17°C or higher
$15 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and current conditions point to an overnight minimum in Paris on September 18, 2026, most likely in the 11–13°C range, which aligns with the closely bunched market-implied odds favoring 11°C and 12°C.**
Westerly flow, light winds (5–8 mph / 8–13 km/h), and partly to mostly clear skies overnight promote radiative cooling, allowing surface temperatures to drop efficiently after sunset. Multiple model runs and station guidance show the low occurring in the pre-dawn hours, with values clustered around 12–13°C (roughly 54–55°F), though some guidance dips to 11°C or holds near 14°C depending on exact cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture.
Recent days featured similar minima (around 12–14°C), providing a climatological baseline for mid-September under comparable synoptic patterns. The tight spread between leading outcomes reflects genuine uncertainty in the final observed low, driven by small differences in forecast cloud timing and wind speed that can shift the minimum by 1–2°C. New observational data through the early morning hours will be the key near-term catalyst for any market movement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$3,842Дата завершення
Sep 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and current conditions point to an overnight minimum in Paris on September 18, 2026, most likely in the 11–13°C range, which aligns with the closely bunched market-implied odds favoring 11°C and 12°C.**
Westerly flow, light winds (5–8 mph / 8–13 km/h), and partly to mostly clear skies overnight promote radiative cooling, allowing surface temperatures to drop efficiently after sunset. Multiple model runs and station guidance show the low occurring in the pre-dawn hours, with values clustered around 12–13°C (roughly 54–55°F), though some guidance dips to 11°C or holds near 14°C depending on exact cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture.
Recent days featured similar minima (around 12–14°C), providing a climatological baseline for mid-September under comparable synoptic patterns. The tight spread between leading outcomes reflects genuine uncertainty in the final observed low, driven by small differences in forecast cloud timing and wind speed that can shift the minimum by 1–2°C. New observational data through the early morning hours will be the key near-term catalyst for any market movement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$3,842Дата завершення
Sep 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models and current conditions point to an overnight minimum in Paris on September 18, 2026, most likely in the 11–13°C range, which aligns with the closely bunched market-implied odds favoring 11°C and 12°C.** Westerly flow, light winds (5–8 mph / 8–13 km/h), and partly to mostly clear skies overnight promote radiative cooling, allowing surface temperatures to drop efficiently after sunset. Multiple model runs and station guidance show the low occurring in the pre-dawn hours, with values clustered around 12–13°C (roughly 54–55°F), though some guidance dips to 11°C or holds near 14°C depending on exact cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture. Recent days featured similar minima (around 12–14°C), providing a climatological baseline for mid-September under comparable synoptic patterns. The tight spread between leading outcomes reflects genuine uncertainty in the final observed low, driven by small differences in forecast cloud timing and wind speed that can shift the minimum by 1–2°C. New observational data through the early morning hours will be the key near-term catalyst for any market movement.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання