**Recent forecasts from models including GFS, ECMWF, and Météo-France point to overnight lows near 13–14°C in Paris on September 19 under mostly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds and stable high pressure.** This setup limits radiative cooling while preventing significant warming or cold advection, positioning 13°C as the leading outcome at 40.5% implied probability and 14°C at 25.5%. Mild maritime air has moderated temperatures after earlier September warmth, keeping values close to or slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of roughly 11°C. A 25% chance assigned to 10°C or below reflects residual model spread and the potential for clearer breaks that could enhance nocturnal cooling. Higher outcomes above 15°C remain low-probability given the consistent guidance for minimal diurnal range. Updated model runs and official Météo-France briefings in the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution based on observations at the Paris-Le Bourget station.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Paris on September 19?
Lowest temperature in Paris on September 19?
10°C or below 50%
12°C 40%
13°C 37%
11°C 36%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 19, 2026
10°C or below
50%
11°C
36%
12°C
40%
13°C
37%
14°C
26%
15°C
36%
16°C
36%
17°C
36%
18°C
3%
19°C
3%
20°C or higher
2%
10°C or below 50%
12°C 40%
13°C 37%
11°C 36%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 19, 2026
10°C or below
$0 Обс.
50%
11°C
$0 Обс.
36%
12°C
$0 Обс.
40%
13°C
$55 Обс.
37%
14°C
$25 Обс.
26%
15°C
$0 Обс.
36%
16°C
$0 Обс.
36%
17°C
$0 Обс.
36%
18°C
$0 Обс.
3%
19°C
$0 Обс.
3%
20°C or higher
$0 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from models including GFS, ECMWF, and Météo-France point to overnight lows near 13–14°C in Paris on September 19 under mostly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds and stable high pressure.**
This setup limits radiative cooling while preventing significant warming or cold advection, positioning 13°C as the leading outcome at 40.5% implied probability and 14°C at 25.5%. Mild maritime air has moderated temperatures after earlier September warmth, keeping values close to or slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of roughly 11°C.
A 25% chance assigned to 10°C or below reflects residual model spread and the potential for clearer breaks that could enhance nocturnal cooling. Higher outcomes above 15°C remain low-probability given the consistent guidance for minimal diurnal range. Updated model runs and official Météo-France briefings in the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution based on observations at the Paris-Le Bourget station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$81Дата завершення
Sep 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from models including GFS, ECMWF, and Météo-France point to overnight lows near 13–14°C in Paris on September 19 under mostly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds and stable high pressure.**
This setup limits radiative cooling while preventing significant warming or cold advection, positioning 13°C as the leading outcome at 40.5% implied probability and 14°C at 25.5%. Mild maritime air has moderated temperatures after earlier September warmth, keeping values close to or slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of roughly 11°C.
A 25% chance assigned to 10°C or below reflects residual model spread and the potential for clearer breaks that could enhance nocturnal cooling. Higher outcomes above 15°C remain low-probability given the consistent guidance for minimal diurnal range. Updated model runs and official Météo-France briefings in the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution based on observations at the Paris-Le Bourget station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$81Дата завершення
Sep 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecasts from models including GFS, ECMWF, and Météo-France point to overnight lows near 13–14°C in Paris on September 19 under mostly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds and stable high pressure.** This setup limits radiative cooling while preventing significant warming or cold advection, positioning 13°C as the leading outcome at 40.5% implied probability and 14°C at 25.5%. Mild maritime air has moderated temperatures after earlier September warmth, keeping values close to or slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of roughly 11°C. A 25% chance assigned to 10°C or below reflects residual model spread and the potential for clearer breaks that could enhance nocturnal cooling. Higher outcomes above 15°C remain low-probability given the consistent guidance for minimal diurnal range. Updated model runs and official Météo-France briefings in the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution based on observations at the Paris-Le Bourget station.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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