Recent National Weather Service and GFS-based forecasts for Los Angeles on September 19 point to a high in the upper 70s to low 80s under mostly sunny skies, light southwest winds, and minimal marine layer influence, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward 76-77°F (60%) and 78-79°F (32.5%). Stable high-pressure ridging and typical late-summer onshore flow have kept model consensus tight over the past 48 hours, with little spread in projected maximums at key stations like LAX. Historical September averages near 78-82°F further support this range, while the low probabilities assigned to 80°F+ outcomes reflect limited warming potential absent any offshore flow or heat advection. Updated model runs and official NHC/NOAA briefings tomorrow morning represent the key near-term data points that could refine these implied probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Los Angeles on September 19?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on September 19?
76-77°F 59%
78-79°F 32%
74-75°F 7%
80-81°F 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 19, 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
7%
76-77°F
59%
78-79°F
32%
80-81°F
5%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
1%
86°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 59%
78-79°F 32%
74-75°F 7%
80-81°F 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 19, 2026
67°F or below
$45 Обс.
<1%
68-69°F
$173 Обс.
1%
70-71°F
$85 Обс.
1%
72-73°F
$431 Обс.
2%
74-75°F
$601 Обс.
7%
76-77°F
$1,308 Обс.
59%
78-79°F
$342 Обс.
32%
80-81°F
$411 Обс.
5%
82-83°F
$604 Обс.
1%
84-85°F
$23 Обс.
1%
86°F or higher
$45 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and GFS-based forecasts for Los Angeles on September 19 point to a high in the upper 70s to low 80s under mostly sunny skies, light southwest winds, and minimal marine layer influence, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward 76-77°F (60%) and 78-79°F (32.5%). Stable high-pressure ridging and typical late-summer onshore flow have kept model consensus tight over the past 48 hours, with little spread in projected maximums at key stations like LAX. Historical September averages near 78-82°F further support this range, while the low probabilities assigned to 80°F+ outcomes reflect limited warming potential absent any offshore flow or heat advection. Updated model runs and official NHC/NOAA briefings tomorrow morning represent the key near-term data points that could refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 17, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$4,068Дата завершення
Sep 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 17, 2026, 7:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and GFS-based forecasts for Los Angeles on September 19 point to a high in the upper 70s to low 80s under mostly sunny skies, light southwest winds, and minimal marine layer influence, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward 76-77°F (60%) and 78-79°F (32.5%). Stable high-pressure ridging and typical late-summer onshore flow have kept model consensus tight over the past 48 hours, with little spread in projected maximums at key stations like LAX. Historical September averages near 78-82°F further support this range, while the low probabilities assigned to 80°F+ outcomes reflect limited warming potential absent any offshore flow or heat advection. Updated model runs and official NHC/NOAA briefings tomorrow morning represent the key near-term data points that could refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$4,068Дата завершення
Sep 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 17, 2026, 7:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and GFS-based forecasts for Los Angeles on September 19 point to a high in the upper 70s to low 80s under mostly sunny skies, light southwest winds, and minimal marine layer influence, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward 76-77°F (60%) and 78-79°F (32.5%). Stable high-pressure ridging and typical late-summer onshore flow have kept model consensus tight over the past 48 hours, with little spread in projected maximums at key stations like LAX. Historical September averages near 78-82°F further support this range, while the low probabilities assigned to 80°F+ outcomes reflect limited warming potential absent any offshore flow or heat advection. Updated model runs and official NHC/NOAA briefings tomorrow morning represent the key near-term data points that could refine these implied probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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