Current forecasts from Environment Canada and other models indicate Toronto will see mostly cloudy skies with easterly winds of 15-20 km/h tonight, supporting a minimum near 11-12°C as radiative cooling remains limited under cloud cover. This aligns with the market's leading 11°C outcome at 55% implied probability, while nearby bins around 8-9°C reflect residual uncertainty in exact overnight cooling rates and any localized variations near Pearson Airport. Lake Ontario's moderating influence and the absence of a strong cold-air advection keep probabilities for sub-6°C outcomes low, consistent with historical September averages around 13°C and recent model consensus. Updated observations through midnight will refine the final reading for market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Toronto on September 19?
Lowest temperature in Toronto on September 19?
5°C or below 100%
8°C 100%
9°C 100%
6°C 17%
$2,270 Обс.
$2,270 Обс.
Sep 19, 2026
5°C or below
100%
6°C
17%
7°C
17%
8°C
100%
9°C
100%
10°C
7%
11°C
-
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C or higher
<1%
5°C or below 100%
8°C 100%
9°C 100%
6°C 17%
$2,270 Обс.
$2,270 Обс.
Sep 19, 2026
5°C or below
$0 Обс.
100%
6°C
$0 Обс.
17%
7°C
$0 Обс.
17%
8°C
$15 Обс.
100%
9°C
$15 Обс.
100%
10°C
$61 Обс.
7%
11°C
$55 Обс.
-
12°C
$2,013 Обс.
<1%
13°C
$37 Обс.
<1%
14°C
$37 Обс.
<1%
15°C or higher
$37 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Environment Canada and other models indicate Toronto will see mostly cloudy skies with easterly winds of 15-20 km/h tonight, supporting a minimum near 11-12°C as radiative cooling remains limited under cloud cover. This aligns with the market's leading 11°C outcome at 55% implied probability, while nearby bins around 8-9°C reflect residual uncertainty in exact overnight cooling rates and any localized variations near Pearson Airport. Lake Ontario's moderating influence and the absence of a strong cold-air advection keep probabilities for sub-6°C outcomes low, consistent with historical September averages around 13°C and recent model consensus. Updated observations through midnight will refine the final reading for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 17, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$2,270Дата завершення
Sep 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 17, 2026, 8:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Environment Canada and other models indicate Toronto will see mostly cloudy skies with easterly winds of 15-20 km/h tonight, supporting a minimum near 11-12°C as radiative cooling remains limited under cloud cover. This aligns with the market's leading 11°C outcome at 55% implied probability, while nearby bins around 8-9°C reflect residual uncertainty in exact overnight cooling rates and any localized variations near Pearson Airport. Lake Ontario's moderating influence and the absence of a strong cold-air advection keep probabilities for sub-6°C outcomes low, consistent with historical September averages around 13°C and recent model consensus. Updated observations through midnight will refine the final reading for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$2,270Дата завершення
Sep 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 17, 2026, 8:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from Environment Canada and other models indicate Toronto will see mostly cloudy skies with easterly winds of 15-20 km/h tonight, supporting a minimum near 11-12°C as radiative cooling remains limited under cloud cover. This aligns with the market's leading 11°C outcome at 55% implied probability, while nearby bins around 8-9°C reflect residual uncertainty in exact overnight cooling rates and any localized variations near Pearson Airport. Lake Ontario's moderating influence and the absence of a strong cold-air advection keep probabilities for sub-6°C outcomes low, consistent with historical September averages around 13°C and recent model consensus. Updated observations through midnight will refine the final reading for market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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