Official forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting meteorological models indicate a daily minimum temperature near 11–14°C for Toronto on September 20, driven by persistent easterly to northeasterly flow, increasing cloud cover, and a 30% chance of showers that limit overnight radiative cooling. These conditions align with mid-September climatology for the region, where average lows hover around 11°C, supporting elevated implied probabilities for outcomes at or below 13°C. Trader consensus reflected in the 49% odds for 18°C or higher captures uncertainty around potential model shifts or localized urban heat effects, with fresh data releases from Environment Canada and updated global ensemble runs expected to refine the range ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Toronto on September 20?
Lowest temperature in Toronto on September 20?
18°C or higher 98%
8°C or below 50%
13°C 40%
14°C 40%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 20, 2026
8°C or below
50%
9°C
17%
10°C
17%
11°C
38%
12°C
39%
13°C
24%
14°C
40%
15°C
38%
16°C
38%
17°C
17%
18°C or higher
98%
18°C or higher 98%
8°C or below 50%
13°C 40%
14°C 40%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 20, 2026
8°C or below
$0 Обс.
50%
9°C
$0 Обс.
17%
10°C
$0 Обс.
17%
11°C
$0 Обс.
38%
12°C
$0 Обс.
39%
13°C
$5 Обс.
24%
14°C
$0 Обс.
40%
15°C
$0 Обс.
38%
16°C
$0 Обс.
38%
17°C
$0 Обс.
17%
18°C or higher
$0 Обс.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting meteorological models indicate a daily minimum temperature near 11–14°C for Toronto on September 20, driven by persistent easterly to northeasterly flow, increasing cloud cover, and a 30% chance of showers that limit overnight radiative cooling. These conditions align with mid-September climatology for the region, where average lows hover around 11°C, supporting elevated implied probabilities for outcomes at or below 13°C. Trader consensus reflected in the 49% odds for 18°C or higher captures uncertainty around potential model shifts or localized urban heat effects, with fresh data releases from Environment Canada and updated global ensemble runs expected to refine the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 18, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$5Дата завершення
Sep 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 18, 2026, 8:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting meteorological models indicate a daily minimum temperature near 11–14°C for Toronto on September 20, driven by persistent easterly to northeasterly flow, increasing cloud cover, and a 30% chance of showers that limit overnight radiative cooling. These conditions align with mid-September climatology for the region, where average lows hover around 11°C, supporting elevated implied probabilities for outcomes at or below 13°C. Trader consensus reflected in the 49% odds for 18°C or higher captures uncertainty around potential model shifts or localized urban heat effects, with fresh data releases from Environment Canada and updated global ensemble runs expected to refine the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$5Дата завершення
Sep 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 18, 2026, 8:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting meteorological models indicate a daily minimum temperature near 11–14°C for Toronto on September 20, driven by persistent easterly to northeasterly flow, increasing cloud cover, and a 30% chance of showers that limit overnight radiative cooling. These conditions align with mid-September climatology for the region, where average lows hover around 11°C, supporting elevated implied probabilities for outcomes at or below 13°C. Trader consensus reflected in the 49% odds for 18°C or higher captures uncertainty around potential model shifts or localized urban heat effects, with fresh data releases from Environment Canada and updated global ensemble runs expected to refine the range ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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