**Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a Denver minimum temperature on September 21 near 52°F under partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds, producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around the 50–53°F and 46–49°F bins.** Radiational cooling overnight will be moderated by residual moisture and variable cloud cover, limiting how far temperatures drop below the seasonal average low of roughly 47°F. Forecasters note minor divergences between deterministic runs and ensembles on the exact timing of clearing skies, which directly affects the difference between the leading 50–51°F and 52–53°F outcomes. With resolution imminent, updated evening model guidance and official NWS point forecasts will likely narrow the remaining uncertainty in trader positioning.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Denver on September 21?
Lowest temperature in Denver on September 21?
46-47°F 39%
48-49°F 39%
50-51°F 23%
52-53°F 22%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 21, 2026
45°F or below
19%
46-47°F
39%
48-49°F
39%
50-51°F
23%
52-53°F
22%
54-55°F
19%
56-57°F
11%
58-59°F
7%
60-61°F
4%
62-63°F
4%
64°F or higher
4%
46-47°F 39%
48-49°F 39%
50-51°F 23%
52-53°F 22%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 21, 2026
45°F or below
$0 Обс.
19%
46-47°F
$0 Обс.
39%
48-49°F
$0 Обс.
39%
50-51°F
$0 Обс.
23%
52-53°F
$0 Обс.
22%
54-55°F
$0 Обс.
19%
56-57°F
$0 Обс.
11%
58-59°F
$0 Обс.
7%
60-61°F
$0 Обс.
4%
62-63°F
$0 Обс.
4%
64°F or higher
$0 Обс.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a Denver minimum temperature on September 21 near 52°F under partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds, producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around the 50–53°F and 46–49°F bins.** Radiational cooling overnight will be moderated by residual moisture and variable cloud cover, limiting how far temperatures drop below the seasonal average low of roughly 47°F. Forecasters note minor divergences between deterministic runs and ensembles on the exact timing of clearing skies, which directly affects the difference between the leading 50–51°F and 52–53°F outcomes. With resolution imminent, updated evening model guidance and official NWS point forecasts will likely narrow the remaining uncertainty in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 19, 2026, 3:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 19, 2026, 3:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a Denver minimum temperature on September 21 near 52°F under partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds, producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around the 50–53°F and 46–49°F bins.** Radiational cooling overnight will be moderated by residual moisture and variable cloud cover, limiting how far temperatures drop below the seasonal average low of roughly 47°F. Forecasters note minor divergences between deterministic runs and ensembles on the exact timing of clearing skies, which directly affects the difference between the leading 50–51°F and 52–53°F outcomes. With resolution imminent, updated evening model guidance and official NWS point forecasts will likely narrow the remaining uncertainty in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 19, 2026, 3:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a Denver minimum temperature on September 21 near 52°F under partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds, producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around the 50–53°F and 46–49°F bins.** Radiational cooling overnight will be moderated by residual moisture and variable cloud cover, limiting how far temperatures drop below the seasonal average low of roughly 47°F. Forecasters note minor divergences between deterministic runs and ensembles on the exact timing of clearing skies, which directly affects the difference between the leading 50–51°F and 52–53°F outcomes. With resolution imminent, updated evening model guidance and official NWS point forecasts will likely narrow the remaining uncertainty in trader positioning.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання