**Model divergence in overnight minimum temperatures for São Paulo on September 19 drives the near-even split between 11°C-or-below (50%) and 21°C-or-higher (49%) outcomes.** Recent cooler-than-average September conditions have produced overnight lows in the 11–16°C range, with current forecasts from multiple sources pointing to minima around 13–18°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies and light easterly winds. Key differentiating factors include the degree of cloud cover affecting radiative cooling, boundary-layer moisture, and any subtle frontal influences that could either enhance or suppress the overnight drop. Traders weigh these variables against climatological norms for mid-September, where typical lows sit near 14–16°C, while awaiting updated model runs and real-time observations that could shift the distribution before the calendar day concludes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 19?
Lowest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 19?
11°C or below 100%
21°C or higher 98%
16°C 40%
15°C 39%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 19, 2026
11°C or below
100%
12°C
14%
13°C
36%
14°C
35%
15°C
39%
16°C
40%
17°C
36%
18°C
36%
19°C
17%
20°C
17%
21°C or higher
98%
11°C or below 100%
21°C or higher 98%
16°C 40%
15°C 39%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 19, 2026
11°C or below
$0 Обс.
100%
12°C
$0 Обс.
14%
13°C
$0 Обс.
36%
14°C
$0 Обс.
35%
15°C
$0 Обс.
39%
16°C
$0 Обс.
40%
17°C
$0 Обс.
36%
18°C
$0 Обс.
36%
19°C
$0 Обс.
17%
20°C
$0 Обс.
17%
21°C or higher
$100 Обс.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Model divergence in overnight minimum temperatures for São Paulo on September 19 drives the near-even split between 11°C-or-below (50%) and 21°C-or-higher (49%) outcomes.** Recent cooler-than-average September conditions have produced overnight lows in the 11–16°C range, with current forecasts from multiple sources pointing to minima around 13–18°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies and light easterly winds. Key differentiating factors include the degree of cloud cover affecting radiative cooling, boundary-layer moisture, and any subtle frontal influences that could either enhance or suppress the overnight drop. Traders weigh these variables against climatological norms for mid-September, where typical lows sit near 14–16°C, while awaiting updated model runs and real-time observations that could shift the distribution before the calendar day concludes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 17, 2026, 8:28 AM ET
Обсяг
$100Дата завершення
Sep 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 17, 2026, 8:28 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Model divergence in overnight minimum temperatures for São Paulo on September 19 drives the near-even split between 11°C-or-below (50%) and 21°C-or-higher (49%) outcomes.** Recent cooler-than-average September conditions have produced overnight lows in the 11–16°C range, with current forecasts from multiple sources pointing to minima around 13–18°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies and light easterly winds. Key differentiating factors include the degree of cloud cover affecting radiative cooling, boundary-layer moisture, and any subtle frontal influences that could either enhance or suppress the overnight drop. Traders weigh these variables against climatological norms for mid-September, where typical lows sit near 14–16°C, while awaiting updated model runs and real-time observations that could shift the distribution before the calendar day concludes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$100Дата завершення
Sep 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 17, 2026, 8:28 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Model divergence in overnight minimum temperatures for São Paulo on September 19 drives the near-even split between 11°C-or-below (50%) and 21°C-or-higher (49%) outcomes.** Recent cooler-than-average September conditions have produced overnight lows in the 11–16°C range, with current forecasts from multiple sources pointing to minima around 13–18°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies and light easterly winds. Key differentiating factors include the degree of cloud cover affecting radiative cooling, boundary-layer moisture, and any subtle frontal influences that could either enhance or suppress the overnight drop. Traders weigh these variables against climatological norms for mid-September, where typical lows sit near 14–16°C, while awaiting updated model runs and real-time observations that could shift the distribution before the calendar day concludes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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