Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and European ensembles indicate an overnight low of 11–12°C for London on September 18, driven by clearing skies after earlier showers, moderate southwesterly winds of 5–8 m/s, and dew points near 9–10°C that limit further radiative cooling. This consensus aligns with the market’s leading probabilities for 12°C and 11°C, reflecting typical early-autumn radiative and advective conditions under a building high-pressure ridge. Recent runs show minimal spread, with no significant model divergence or incoming fronts expected to alter the minimum before resolution. Historical September lows in London average near 11°C, providing additional context for the tight clustering around these values. Updated guidance through the evening of the 17th will be the next key input for traders.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in London on September 18?
Lowest temperature in London on September 18?
12°C 47%
11°C 36%
13°C 20%
8°C 14%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 18, 2026
6°C or below
2%
7°C
2%
8°C
14%
9°C
14%
10°C
12%
11°C
36%
12°C
47%
13°C
17%
14°C
3%
15°C
2%
16°C or higher
2%
12°C 47%
11°C 36%
13°C 20%
8°C 14%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 18, 2026
6°C or below
$0 Обс.
2%
7°C
$0 Обс.
2%
8°C
$0 Обс.
14%
9°C
$0 Обс.
14%
10°C
$29 Обс.
12%
11°C
$1,181 Обс.
36%
12°C
$1,359 Обс.
47%
13°C
$263 Обс.
17%
14°C
$0 Обс.
3%
15°C
$0 Обс.
2%
16°C or higher
$0 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and European ensembles indicate an overnight low of 11–12°C for London on September 18, driven by clearing skies after earlier showers, moderate southwesterly winds of 5–8 m/s, and dew points near 9–10°C that limit further radiative cooling. This consensus aligns with the market’s leading probabilities for 12°C and 11°C, reflecting typical early-autumn radiative and advective conditions under a building high-pressure ridge. Recent runs show minimal spread, with no significant model divergence or incoming fronts expected to alter the minimum before resolution. Historical September lows in London average near 11°C, providing additional context for the tight clustering around these values. Updated guidance through the evening of the 17th will be the next key input for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$2,832Дата завершення
Sep 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and European ensembles indicate an overnight low of 11–12°C for London on September 18, driven by clearing skies after earlier showers, moderate southwesterly winds of 5–8 m/s, and dew points near 9–10°C that limit further radiative cooling. This consensus aligns with the market’s leading probabilities for 12°C and 11°C, reflecting typical early-autumn radiative and advective conditions under a building high-pressure ridge. Recent runs show minimal spread, with no significant model divergence or incoming fronts expected to alter the minimum before resolution. Historical September lows in London average near 11°C, providing additional context for the tight clustering around these values. Updated guidance through the evening of the 17th will be the next key input for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$2,832Дата завершення
Sep 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and European ensembles indicate an overnight low of 11–12°C for London on September 18, driven by clearing skies after earlier showers, moderate southwesterly winds of 5–8 m/s, and dew points near 9–10°C that limit further radiative cooling. This consensus aligns with the market’s leading probabilities for 12°C and 11°C, reflecting typical early-autumn radiative and advective conditions under a building high-pressure ridge. Recent runs show minimal spread, with no significant model divergence or incoming fronts expected to alter the minimum before resolution. Historical September lows in London average near 11°C, providing additional context for the tight clustering around these values. Updated guidance through the evening of the 17th will be the next key input for traders.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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