Recent forecast models from agencies like the German Weather Service and ECMWF indicate Munich will see mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and low humidity on September 15, promoting efficient nocturnal radiative cooling after a daytime high near 23–25°C. This setup supports minimum temperatures clustering around 8–9°C during the early morning or late evening hours, consistent with the near-even market odds between those outcomes. Subtle differences hinge on exact cloud cover timing, boundary-layer mixing, and dew-point depression, which can shift the low by 1°C. Historical September averages near 10°C provide context, but current high-pressure dominance and calm conditions favor values slightly below the norm, with new observational data from stations expected to refine probabilities as the calendar day concludes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Munich on September 15?
Lowest temperature in Munich on September 15?
4°C or below 50%
9°C 47%
8°C 47%
7°C 22%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 15, 2026
4°C or below
50%
5°C
<1%
6°C
21%
7°C
22%
8°C
47%
9°C
47%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C or higher
<1%
4°C or below 50%
9°C 47%
8°C 47%
7°C 22%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 15, 2026
4°C or below
$10 Обс.
50%
5°C
$227 Обс.
<1%
6°C
$204 Обс.
21%
7°C
$5 Обс.
22%
8°C
$14 Обс.
47%
9°C
$21 Обс.
47%
10°C
$86 Обс.
<1%
11°C
$70 Обс.
<1%
12°C
$80 Обс.
<1%
13°C
$32 Обс.
<1%
14°C or higher
$32 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies like the German Weather Service and ECMWF indicate Munich will see mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and low humidity on September 15, promoting efficient nocturnal radiative cooling after a daytime high near 23–25°C. This setup supports minimum temperatures clustering around 8–9°C during the early morning or late evening hours, consistent with the near-even market odds between those outcomes. Subtle differences hinge on exact cloud cover timing, boundary-layer mixing, and dew-point depression, which can shift the low by 1°C. Historical September averages near 10°C provide context, but current high-pressure dominance and calm conditions favor values slightly below the norm, with new observational data from stations expected to refine probabilities as the calendar day concludes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
Обсяг
$780Дата завершення
Sep 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies like the German Weather Service and ECMWF indicate Munich will see mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and low humidity on September 15, promoting efficient nocturnal radiative cooling after a daytime high near 23–25°C. This setup supports minimum temperatures clustering around 8–9°C during the early morning or late evening hours, consistent with the near-even market odds between those outcomes. Subtle differences hinge on exact cloud cover timing, boundary-layer mixing, and dew-point depression, which can shift the low by 1°C. Historical September averages near 10°C provide context, but current high-pressure dominance and calm conditions favor values slightly below the norm, with new observational data from stations expected to refine probabilities as the calendar day concludes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$780Дата завершення
Sep 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from agencies like the German Weather Service and ECMWF indicate Munich will see mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and low humidity on September 15, promoting efficient nocturnal radiative cooling after a daytime high near 23–25°C. This setup supports minimum temperatures clustering around 8–9°C during the early morning or late evening hours, consistent with the near-even market odds between those outcomes. Subtle differences hinge on exact cloud cover timing, boundary-layer mixing, and dew-point depression, which can shift the low by 1°C. Historical September averages near 10°C provide context, but current high-pressure dominance and calm conditions favor values slightly below the norm, with new observational data from stations expected to refine probabilities as the calendar day concludes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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