Recent numerical weather prediction models and climatological baselines position 25°C as the leading outcome for Shanghai’s lowest temperature on July 5, reflecting typical early-July subtropical monsoon conditions where nocturnal radiative cooling is limited by high humidity and prevailing southerly flow. Ensemble guidance shows overnight lows clustered near 24–26°C, with limited spread due to stable large-scale patterns and no strong frontal passages or tropical influences expected in the 48-hour window. Trader consensus aligns with this central tendency, as 25°C commands over half the probability while adjacent bins capture residual forecast uncertainty. Updated runs from global and regional models will refine these values ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Shanghai on July 5?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on July 5?
25°C 42%
26°C 38%
27°C 8%
24°C 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 5, 2026
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
6%
25°C
42%
26°C
38%
27°C
8%
28°C
3%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 42%
26°C 38%
27°C 8%
24°C 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 5, 2026
21°C or below
$42 Обс.
1%
22°C
$85 Обс.
1%
23°C
$32 Обс.
4%
24°C
$5 Обс.
6%
25°C
$57 Обс.
42%
26°C
$5 Обс.
38%
27°C
$235 Обс.
8%
28°C
$250 Обс.
3%
29°C
$147 Обс.
1%
30°C
$33 Обс.
<1%
31°C or higher
$491 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models and climatological baselines position 25°C as the leading outcome for Shanghai’s lowest temperature on July 5, reflecting typical early-July subtropical monsoon conditions where nocturnal radiative cooling is limited by high humidity and prevailing southerly flow. Ensemble guidance shows overnight lows clustered near 24–26°C, with limited spread due to stable large-scale patterns and no strong frontal passages or tropical influences expected in the 48-hour window. Trader consensus aligns with this central tendency, as 25°C commands over half the probability while adjacent bins capture residual forecast uncertainty. Updated runs from global and regional models will refine these values ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,381Дата завершення
Jul 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models and climatological baselines position 25°C as the leading outcome for Shanghai’s lowest temperature on July 5, reflecting typical early-July subtropical monsoon conditions where nocturnal radiative cooling is limited by high humidity and prevailing southerly flow. Ensemble guidance shows overnight lows clustered near 24–26°C, with limited spread due to stable large-scale patterns and no strong frontal passages or tropical influences expected in the 48-hour window. Trader consensus aligns with this central tendency, as 25°C commands over half the probability while adjacent bins capture residual forecast uncertainty. Updated runs from global and regional models will refine these values ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,381Дата завершення
Jul 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models and climatological baselines position 25°C as the leading outcome for Shanghai’s lowest temperature on July 5, reflecting typical early-July subtropical monsoon conditions where nocturnal radiative cooling is limited by high humidity and prevailing southerly flow. Ensemble guidance shows overnight lows clustered near 24–26°C, with limited spread due to stable large-scale patterns and no strong frontal passages or tropical influences expected in the 48-hour window. Trader consensus aligns with this central tendency, as 25°C commands over half the probability while adjacent bins capture residual forecast uncertainty. Updated runs from global and regional models will refine these values ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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