Global seismicity exhibits natural week-to-week variability driven by plate boundary interactions along the Pacific Ring of Fire and other tectonic zones, with USGS data indicating typical counts of roughly 8–12 magnitude 5.5+ events worldwide. Recent moderate activity, including a M6.0 offshore Japan on July 2 and scattered M5+ events in Indonesia, Tonga, and China, reflects ongoing subduction zone strain release without a dominant aftershock sequence that could elevate totals. Traders weigh this baseline against the potential for clustering or quiet periods, as new USGS monitoring updates and any large triggering events could shift resolution odds for the July 6–12 window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHow many 5.5 or above earthquakes July 6 - July 12?
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes July 6 - July 12?
≤8 40%
10 11%
13 9%
12 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 12, 2026
≤8
40%
9
7%
10
11%
11
7%
12
9%
13
9%
14
6%
>14
7%
≤8 40%
10 11%
13 9%
12 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 12, 2026
≤8
$0 Обс.
40%
9
$0 Обс.
7%
10
$0 Обс.
11%
11
$0 Обс.
7%
12
$0 Обс.
9%
13
$44 Обс.
9%
14
$0 Обс.
6%
>14
$0 Обс.
7%
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between July 6, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Global seismicity exhibits natural week-to-week variability driven by plate boundary interactions along the Pacific Ring of Fire and other tectonic zones, with USGS data indicating typical counts of roughly 8–12 magnitude 5.5+ events worldwide. Recent moderate activity, including a M6.0 offshore Japan on July 2 and scattered M5+ events in Indonesia, Tonga, and China, reflects ongoing subduction zone strain release without a dominant aftershock sequence that could elevate totals. Traders weigh this baseline against the potential for clustering or quiet periods, as new USGS monitoring updates and any large triggering events could shift resolution odds for the July 6–12 window.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between July 6, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 3, 2026, 9:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$44Дата завершення
Jul 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 3, 2026, 9:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between July 6, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Global seismicity exhibits natural week-to-week variability driven by plate boundary interactions along the Pacific Ring of Fire and other tectonic zones, with USGS data indicating typical counts of roughly 8–12 magnitude 5.5+ events worldwide. Recent moderate activity, including a M6.0 offshore Japan on July 2 and scattered M5+ events in Indonesia, Tonga, and China, reflects ongoing subduction zone strain release without a dominant aftershock sequence that could elevate totals. Traders weigh this baseline against the potential for clustering or quiet periods, as new USGS monitoring updates and any large triggering events could shift resolution odds for the July 6–12 window.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between July 6, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Обсяг
$44Дата завершення
Jul 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 3, 2026, 9:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Global seismicity exhibits natural week-to-week variability driven by plate boundary interactions along the Pacific Ring of Fire and other tectonic zones, with USGS data indicating typical counts of roughly 8–12 magnitude 5.5+ events worldwide. Recent moderate activity, including a M6.0 offshore Japan on July 2 and scattered M5+ events in Indonesia, Tonga, and China, reflects ongoing subduction zone strain release without a dominant aftershock sequence that could elevate totals. Traders weigh this baseline against the potential for clustering or quiet periods, as new USGS monitoring updates and any large triggering events could shift resolution odds for the July 6–12 window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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