Recent Q2 results highlighted Meta's robust ad revenue growth of 28% to $60.8 billion, yet heavy AI infrastructure spending, including raised 2026 capex guidance of $130-145 billion, plus $2.4 billion in legal charges and severance costs, compressed free cash flow to just $784 million and narrowed operating margins to 31%. Ongoing multi-state youth safety litigation in California adds near-term uncertainty, pressuring shares toward the $1.4 trillion range amid broader tech volatility. New proprietary Muse Spark models and open-weight releases like Muse Glimmer underscore Meta's competitive AI positioning versus closed frontier labs, but short-term trader focus remains on cost discipline and regulatory outcomes before October resolution. Q3 earnings and any trial developments represent key swing factors for the closely matched probability bands.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$1.25-$1.50T 43%
$1.00-$1.25T 28%
$1.50-$1.75T 28%
$2.00-$2.25T 27.6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Oct 31, 2026
<$1.00T
26%
$1.00-$1.25T
28%
$1.25-$1.50T
43%
$1.50-$1.75T
28%
$1.75-$2.00T
27%
$2.00-$2.25T
28%
$2.25T+
26%
$1.25-$1.50T 43%
$1.00-$1.25T 28%
$1.50-$1.75T 28%
$2.00-$2.25T 27.6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Oct 31, 2026
<$1.00T
$0 Обс.
26%
$1.00-$1.25T
$0 Обс.
28%
$1.25-$1.50T
$0 Обс.
43%
$1.50-$1.75T
$0 Обс.
28%
$1.75-$2.00T
$0 Обс.
27%
$2.00-$2.25T
$0 Обс.
28%
$2.25T+
$0 Обс.
26%
This market will resolve according to Meta's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Recent Q2 results highlighted Meta's robust ad revenue growth of 28% to $60.8 billion, yet heavy AI infrastructure spending, including raised 2026 capex guidance of $130-145 billion, plus $2.4 billion in legal charges and severance costs, compressed free cash flow to just $784 million and narrowed operating margins to 31%. Ongoing multi-state youth safety litigation in California adds near-term uncertainty, pressuring shares toward the $1.4 trillion range amid broader tech volatility. New proprietary Muse Spark models and open-weight releases like Muse Glimmer underscore Meta's competitive AI positioning versus closed frontier labs, but short-term trader focus remains on cost discipline and regulatory outcomes before October resolution. Q3 earnings and any trial developments represent key swing factors for the closely matched probability bands.
This market will resolve according to Meta's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 21, 2026, 2:46 PM ET
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Oct 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 21, 2026, 2:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Meta's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Recent Q2 results highlighted Meta's robust ad revenue growth of 28% to $60.8 billion, yet heavy AI infrastructure spending, including raised 2026 capex guidance of $130-145 billion, plus $2.4 billion in legal charges and severance costs, compressed free cash flow to just $784 million and narrowed operating margins to 31%. Ongoing multi-state youth safety litigation in California adds near-term uncertainty, pressuring shares toward the $1.4 trillion range amid broader tech volatility. New proprietary Muse Spark models and open-weight releases like Muse Glimmer underscore Meta's competitive AI positioning versus closed frontier labs, but short-term trader focus remains on cost discipline and regulatory outcomes before October resolution. Q3 earnings and any trial developments represent key swing factors for the closely matched probability bands.
This market will resolve according to Meta's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Oct 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 21, 2026, 2:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Q2 results highlighted Meta's robust ad revenue growth of 28% to $60.8 billion, yet heavy AI infrastructure spending, including raised 2026 capex guidance of $130-145 billion, plus $2.4 billion in legal charges and severance costs, compressed free cash flow to just $784 million and narrowed operating margins to 31%. Ongoing multi-state youth safety litigation in California adds near-term uncertainty, pressuring shares toward the $1.4 trillion range amid broader tech volatility. New proprietary Muse Spark models and open-weight releases like Muse Glimmer underscore Meta's competitive AI positioning versus closed frontier labs, but short-term trader focus remains on cost discipline and regulatory outcomes before October resolution. Q3 earnings and any trial developments represent key swing factors for the closely matched probability bands.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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