The open gubernatorial seat created by term limits for incumbent Democrat Gretchen Whitmer has positioned Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson as the clear frontrunner in Democratic primary polling ahead of the August 4 contest. Recent surveys from early May 2026 show Benson leading hypothetical general-election matchups against Republican contenders such as U.S. Representative John James and businessman Perry Johnson, as well as independent candidate and former Detroit Mayor Mike Duggan. These results, combined with Michigan’s recent pattern of Democratic victories in statewide races, underpin the current trader consensus favoring a Democratic outcome. Key factors that could still shift probabilities include primary results, candidate fundraising, and any late shifts in voter turnout across battleground regions.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMichigan Governor Election Winner
Michigan Governor Election Winner
Democrat 71%
Republican 17%
Independent 15%
$180,997 Обс.
$180,997 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
71%
Republican
17%
Independent
15%
Democrat 71%
Republican 17%
Independent 15%
$180,997 Обс.
$180,997 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$39,809 Обс.
71%
Republican
$141,117 Обс.
17%
Independent
$71 Обс.
15%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The open gubernatorial seat created by term limits for incumbent Democrat Gretchen Whitmer has positioned Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson as the clear frontrunner in Democratic primary polling ahead of the August 4 contest. Recent surveys from early May 2026 show Benson leading hypothetical general-election matchups against Republican contenders such as U.S. Representative John James and businessman Perry Johnson, as well as independent candidate and former Detroit Mayor Mike Duggan. These results, combined with Michigan’s recent pattern of Democratic victories in statewide races, underpin the current trader consensus favoring a Democratic outcome. Key factors that could still shift probabilities include primary results, candidate fundraising, and any late shifts in voter turnout across battleground regions.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Ринок відкрито: Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Обсяг
$180,997Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The open gubernatorial seat created by term limits for incumbent Democrat Gretchen Whitmer has positioned Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson as the clear frontrunner in Democratic primary polling ahead of the August 4 contest. Recent surveys from early May 2026 show Benson leading hypothetical general-election matchups against Republican contenders such as U.S. Representative John James and businessman Perry Johnson, as well as independent candidate and former Detroit Mayor Mike Duggan. These results, combined with Michigan’s recent pattern of Democratic victories in statewide races, underpin the current trader consensus favoring a Democratic outcome. Key factors that could still shift probabilities include primary results, candidate fundraising, and any late shifts in voter turnout across battleground regions.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Обсяг
$180,997Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open gubernatorial seat created by term limits for incumbent Democrat Gretchen Whitmer has positioned Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson as the clear frontrunner in Democratic primary polling ahead of the August 4 contest. Recent surveys from early May 2026 show Benson leading hypothetical general-election matchups against Republican contenders such as U.S. Representative John James and businessman Perry Johnson, as well as independent candidate and former Detroit Mayor Mike Duggan. These results, combined with Michigan’s recent pattern of Democratic victories in statewide races, underpin the current trader consensus favoring a Democratic outcome. Key factors that could still shift probabilities include primary results, candidate fundraising, and any late shifts in voter turnout across battleground regions.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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