The open U.S. Senate seat in Michigan, created by incumbent Gary Peters’ retirement, has driven trader consensus toward a Democratic outcome at 74% implied probability. Competitive polling in the August 4 Democratic primary among Abdul El-Sayed, Mallory McMorrow, and Haley Stevens signals a strong field capable of consolidating support for the general election. On the Republican side, Mike Rogers holds a clear path to nomination yet enters November matchups as a slight underdog in a state where recent Senate results and turnout patterns have favored Democrats. General-election surveys through mid-May show toss-up dynamics between leading contenders, with analysts noting Michigan’s status as a battleground where modest shifts in suburban or independent voting blocs could narrow the gap before Election Day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMichigan Senate Election Winner
Michigan Senate Election Winner
$113,316 Обс.
$113,316 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
74%
Republican
27%
$113,316 Обс.
$113,316 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$81,766 Обс.
74%
Republican
$31,550 Обс.
27%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The open U.S. Senate seat in Michigan, created by incumbent Gary Peters’ retirement, has driven trader consensus toward a Democratic outcome at 74% implied probability. Competitive polling in the August 4 Democratic primary among Abdul El-Sayed, Mallory McMorrow, and Haley Stevens signals a strong field capable of consolidating support for the general election. On the Republican side, Mike Rogers holds a clear path to nomination yet enters November matchups as a slight underdog in a state where recent Senate results and turnout patterns have favored Democrats. General-election surveys through mid-May show toss-up dynamics between leading contenders, with analysts noting Michigan’s status as a battleground where modest shifts in suburban or independent voting blocs could narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Ринок відкрито: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Обсяг
$113,316Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The open U.S. Senate seat in Michigan, created by incumbent Gary Peters’ retirement, has driven trader consensus toward a Democratic outcome at 74% implied probability. Competitive polling in the August 4 Democratic primary among Abdul El-Sayed, Mallory McMorrow, and Haley Stevens signals a strong field capable of consolidating support for the general election. On the Republican side, Mike Rogers holds a clear path to nomination yet enters November matchups as a slight underdog in a state where recent Senate results and turnout patterns have favored Democrats. General-election surveys through mid-May show toss-up dynamics between leading contenders, with analysts noting Michigan’s status as a battleground where modest shifts in suburban or independent voting blocs could narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Обсяг
$113,316Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open U.S. Senate seat in Michigan, created by incumbent Gary Peters’ retirement, has driven trader consensus toward a Democratic outcome at 74% implied probability. Competitive polling in the August 4 Democratic primary among Abdul El-Sayed, Mallory McMorrow, and Haley Stevens signals a strong field capable of consolidating support for the general election. On the Republican side, Mike Rogers holds a clear path to nomination yet enters November matchups as a slight underdog in a state where recent Senate results and turnout patterns have favored Democrats. General-election surveys through mid-May show toss-up dynamics between leading contenders, with analysts noting Michigan’s status as a battleground where modest shifts in suburban or independent voting blocs could narrow the gap before Election Day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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