Mojtaba Khamenei, named Iran's Supreme Leader by the Assembly of Experts in March 2026 following his father Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's death in US-Israeli strikes, has made no public appearances since surviving a near-fatal airstrike that killed family members, fueling unverified rumors of severe injury, hiding, or relocation to Russia for treatment. Iranian officials dismiss these claims, with state media issuing statements attributed to him vowing retaliation amid the ongoing war, while credible reporting confirms no exit from Iran. Trader consensus prices departure odds below 4% by June 30, reflecting skepticism toward speculation absent primary evidence, IRGC loyalty signals, and regime incentives to project stability despite faltering US talks and domestic protests; watch for strikes or leadership fractures that could shift dynamics.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$1,121,250 Обс.
May 31, 2026
May 31
1%
June 30
4%
$1,121,250 Обс.
May 31
$101,206 Обс.
1%
June 30
$48,434 Обс.
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Mojtaba Khamenei, named Iran's Supreme Leader by the Assembly of Experts in March 2026 following his father Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's death in US-Israeli strikes, has made no public appearances since surviving a near-fatal airstrike that killed family members, fueling unverified rumors of severe injury, hiding, or relocation to Russia for treatment. Iranian officials dismiss these claims, with state media issuing statements attributed to him vowing retaliation amid the ongoing war, while credible reporting confirms no exit from Iran. Trader consensus prices departure odds below 4% by June 30, reflecting skepticism toward speculation absent primary evidence, IRGC loyalty signals, and regime incentives to project stability despite faltering US talks and domestic protests; watch for strikes or leadership fractures that could shift dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: Mar 24, 2026, 4:24 PM ET
Обсяг
$1,121,250Дата завершення
Apr 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Mar 24, 2026, 4:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Mojtaba Khamenei, named Iran's Supreme Leader by the Assembly of Experts in March 2026 following his father Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's death in US-Israeli strikes, has made no public appearances since surviving a near-fatal airstrike that killed family members, fueling unverified rumors of severe injury, hiding, or relocation to Russia for treatment. Iranian officials dismiss these claims, with state media issuing statements attributed to him vowing retaliation amid the ongoing war, while credible reporting confirms no exit from Iran. Trader consensus prices departure odds below 4% by June 30, reflecting skepticism toward speculation absent primary evidence, IRGC loyalty signals, and regime incentives to project stability despite faltering US talks and domestic protests; watch for strikes or leadership fractures that could shift dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$1,121,250Дата завершення
Apr 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Mar 24, 2026, 4:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Mojtaba Khamenei, named Iran's Supreme Leader by the Assembly of Experts in March 2026 following his father Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's death in US-Israeli strikes, has made no public appearances since surviving a near-fatal airstrike that killed family members, fueling unverified rumors of severe injury, hiding, or relocation to Russia for treatment. Iranian officials dismiss these claims, with state media issuing statements attributed to him vowing retaliation amid the ongoing war, while credible reporting confirms no exit from Iran. Trader consensus prices departure odds below 4% by June 30, reflecting skepticism toward speculation absent primary evidence, IRGC loyalty signals, and regime incentives to project stability despite faltering US talks and domestic protests; watch for strikes or leadership fractures that could shift dynamics.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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