**Incumbent Republican Governor Kelly Ayotte holds a clear edge in the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial race, with recent polls showing her leading presumptive Democratic nominee Cinde Warmington by 10–11 points.** Late August surveys from the University of New Hampshire and Saint Anselm College placed Ayotte at 49% against Warmington’s 38–39%, widening her margin from earlier in the summer. Ayotte’s job approval has risen to a net positive in the most recent UNH data, supported by strong Republican and independent backing despite a national environment that favors Democrats on the generic ballot. The September 8 primaries and November 3 general election timeline remain the key near-term markers. Trader pricing aligns with Ayotte’s consistent polling lead and incumbency advantages in a state that has favored her performance over broader partisan trends. Warmington has shown little movement in head-to-head matchups, limiting Democratic momentum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNew Hampshire Governor Election Winner
$16,620 Обс.
$16,620 Обс.

Republican
84%

Democrat
16%
$16,620 Обс.
$16,620 Обс.

Republican
84%

Democrat
16%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Ринок відкрито: Oct 13, 2025, 6:07 PM ET
Вирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Вирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...**Incumbent Republican Governor Kelly Ayotte holds a clear edge in the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial race, with recent polls showing her leading presumptive Democratic nominee Cinde Warmington by 10–11 points.** Late August surveys from the University of New Hampshire and Saint Anselm College placed Ayotte at 49% against Warmington’s 38–39%, widening her margin from earlier in the summer. Ayotte’s job approval has risen to a net positive in the most recent UNH data, supported by strong Republican and independent backing despite a national environment that favors Democrats on the generic ballot. The September 8 primaries and November 3 general election timeline remain the key near-term markers. Trader pricing aligns with Ayotte’s consistent polling lead and incumbency advantages in a state that has favored her performance over broader partisan trends. Warmington has shown little movement in head-to-head matchups, limiting Democratic momentum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено


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