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Politics·French Elections

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

icon for Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
Politics·French Elections

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

$23,309 Обс.

Apr 30, 2027
Polymarket

$23,309 Обс.

Polymarket
icon for Jordan Bardella

Jordan Bardella

$3,570 Обс.

73%

icon for Édouard Philippe

Édouard Philippe

$375 Обс.

44%

icon for Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$784 Обс.

39%

icon for Gabriel Attal

Gabriel Attal

$95 Обс.

30%

icon for François Ruffin

François Ruffin

$1,022 Обс.

18%

icon for Raphaël Glucksmann

Raphaël Glucksmann

$25 Обс.

21%

icon for Marine Le Pen

Marine Le Pen

$348 Обс.

19%

icon for Dominique de Villepin

Dominique de Villepin

$200 Обс.

13%

icon for Clémentine Autain

Clémentine Autain

$494 Обс.

12%

icon for Olivier Faure

Olivier Faure

$129 Обс.

11%

icon for Laurent Wauquiez

Laurent Wauquiez

$55 Обс.

10%

icon for Éric Zemmour

Éric Zemmour

$102 Обс.

10%

icon for Bruno Retailleau

Bruno Retailleau

$428 Обс.

10%

icon for Marine Tondelier

Marine Tondelier

$1,059 Обс.

9%

icon for François Hollande

François Hollande

$21 Обс.

14%

icon for Valérie Pécresse

Valérie Pécresse

$57 Обс.

8%

icon for David Lisnard

David Lisnard

$66 Обс.

6%

icon for Juan Branco

Juan Branco

$136 Обс.

6%

icon for Jean Castex

Jean Castex

$152 Обс.

23%

icon for Sébastien Lecornu

Sébastien Lecornu

$61 Обс.

5%

icon for Sarah Knafo

Sarah Knafo

$460 Обс.

4%

icon for Gérald Darmanin

Gérald Darmanin

$892 Обс.

4%

icon for Élisabeth Borne

Élisabeth Borne

$1,047 Обс.

4%

icon for Manuel Bompard

Manuel Bompard

$1,148 Обс.

3%

icon for Michel Barnier

Michel Barnier

$929 Обс.

3%

icon for Bernard Cazeneuve

Bernard Cazeneuve

$126 Обс.

3%

icon for Ségolène Royal

Ségolène Royal

$988 Обс.

3%

icon for Yaël Braun-Pivet

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$1,849 Обс.

3%

icon for François Bayrou

François Bayrou

$12 Обс.

3%

icon for François Asselineau

François Asselineau

$1,690 Обс.

2%

icon for Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$551 Обс.

1%

icon for Xavier Bertrand

Xavier Bertrand

$1,520 Обс.

1%

icon for Fabien Roussel

Fabien Roussel

$973 Обс.

1%

icon for Mathilde Panot

Mathilde Panot

$668 Обс.

1%

icon for Carole Delga

Carole Delga

$1,082 Обс.

1%

icon for Clémence Guetté

Clémence Guetté

$81 Обс.

27%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Jordan Bardella of the National Rally leads recent first-round polling for the April 2027 presidential election at around 34 percent, well ahead of fragmented rivals including Jean-Luc Mélenchon of La France Insoumise near 16 percent and several centrist or center-right figures. Marine Le Pen’s pending appeal of her embezzlement conviction and five-year office ban, with a ruling expected in July 2026, determines whether she or Bardella carries the party banner into the race. A crowded field of declared candidates from the center and moderate left raises the prospect that vote splitting could send either Mélenchon or a figure such as Édouard Philippe into the runoff alongside the National Rally nominee, consistent with patterns in prior elections where the two highest first-round finishers advance under the two-round system.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Обсяг
$23,309
Дата завершення
Apr 30, 2027
Ринок відкрито
Jun 1, 2026, 7:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Jordan Bardella of the National Rally leads recent first-round polling for the April 2027 presidential election at around 34 percent, well ahead of fragmented rivals including Jean-Luc Mélenchon of La France Insoumise near 16 percent and several centrist or center-right figures. Marine Le Pen’s pending appeal of her embezzlement conviction and five-year office ban, with a ruling expected in July 2026, determines whether she or Bardella carries the party banner into the race. A crowded field of declared candidates from the center and moderate left raises the prospect that vote splitting could send either Mélenchon or a figure such as Édouard Philippe into the runoff alongside the National Rally nominee, consistent with patterns in prior elections where the two highest first-round finishers advance under the two-round system.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Обсяг
$23,309
Дата завершення
Apr 30, 2027
Ринок відкрито
Jun 1, 2026, 7:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 36 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Jordan Bardella» з 73%, далі «Édouard Philippe» з 44%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?» згенерував $23.3K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Jun 1, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?», перегляньте 36 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?» — «Jordan Bardella» з 73%. Наступний — «Édouard Philippe» з 44%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

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