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Політика·Нагороди

Лауреат Нобелівської премії миру 2026 року

icon for Лауреат Нобелівської премії миру 2026 року
Політика·Нагороди

Лауреат Нобелівської премії миру 2026 року

Дональд Трамп 10%

Юлія Навальна 9%

Володимир Зеленський 6.3%

БАПОР 5.1%

Polymarket

$17,689,190 Обс.

Дональд Трамп 10%

Юлія Навальна 9%

Володимир Зеленський 6.3%

БАПОР 5.1%

Polymarket

$17,689,190 Обс.

icon for Дональд Трамп

Дональд Трамп

$3,377,651 Обс.

10%

icon for Юлія Навальна

Юлія Навальна

$159,832 Обс.

9%

icon for Володимир Зеленський

Володимир Зеленський

$500,327 Обс.

6%

icon for БАПОР

БАПОР

$1,945,851 Обс.

5%

icon for Тамі́м бін Хама́д Аль Тані

Тамі́м бін Хама́д Аль Тані

$611,247 Обс.

4%

icon for Папа Лев XIV

Папа Лев XIV

$698,916 Обс.

3%

icon for Міжнародний суд ООН

Міжнародний суд ООН

$760,536 Обс.

2%

icon for Нарендра Моді

Нарендра Моді

$544,627 Обс.

2%

icon for Грета Тунберг

Грета Тунберг

$1,196,945 Обс.

1%

icon for Сі Цзіньпін

Сі Цзіньпін

$1,141,968 Обс.

1%

icon for Чарлі Кірк

Чарлі Кірк

$909,167 Обс.

1%

icon for Ахмед аль-Шараа

Ахмед аль-Шараа

$952,577 Обс.

1%

icon for Антоніу Гутерріш

Антоніу Гутерріш

$421,454 Обс.

1%

icon for Халед Машаль

Халед Машаль

$454,513 Обс.

1%

icon for Реджеп Таїп Ердоган

Реджеп Таїп Ердоган

$716,074 Обс.

1%

icon for Мухаммед бін Салман

Мухаммед бін Салман

$818,205 Обс.

1%

icon for Джуліан Ассанж

Джуліан Ассанж

$503,800 Обс.

1%

icon for Володимир Путін

Володимир Путін

$744,992 Обс.

1%

icon for Ілон Маск

Ілон Маск

$733,792 Обс.

<1%

icon for Біньямін Нетаньяху

Біньямін Нетаньяху

$496,791 Обс.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.The recent public disclosure of 287 nominees has opened up the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize race, leaving traders with a tightly contested field where Donald Trump holds a slight edge at 9.5% implied probability on the back of high-profile diplomatic endorsements from regional leaders. Close behind, Yulia Navalnaya’s 8.5% reflects sustained momentum from her human-rights advocacy profile, while Volodymyr Zelenskyy’s 6.3% underscores ongoing conflict-resolution narratives amid global tensions. Organizations such as UNRWA and the International Court of Justice add further fragmentation, mirroring the committee’s history of favoring collective winners when no single frontrunner builds decisive campaign traction. With the October ceremony still months away, fresh advocacy milestones or breakthrough developments could quickly shift the current evenly matched dynamics.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.

If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Обсяг
$17,689,190
Дата завершення
Oct 10, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.The recent public disclosure of 287 nominees has opened up the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize race, leaving traders with a tightly contested field where Donald Trump holds a slight edge at 9.5% implied probability on the back of high-profile diplomatic endorsements from regional leaders. Close behind, Yulia Navalnaya’s 8.5% reflects sustained momentum from her human-rights advocacy profile, while Volodymyr Zelenskyy’s 6.3% underscores ongoing conflict-resolution narratives amid global tensions. Organizations such as UNRWA and the International Court of Justice add further fragmentation, mirroring the committee’s history of favoring collective winners when no single frontrunner builds decisive campaign traction. With the October ceremony still months away, fresh advocacy milestones or breakthrough developments could quickly shift the current evenly matched dynamics.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.

If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Обсяг
$17,689,190
Дата завершення
Oct 10, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Лауреат Нобелівської премії миру 2026 року» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 20 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Дональд Трамп» з 10%, далі «Юлія Навальна» з 9%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Лауреат Нобелівської премії миру 2026 року» згенерував $17.7 million загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Oct 16, 2025. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Лауреат Нобелівської премії миру 2026 року», перегляньте 20 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Лауреат Нобелівської премії миру 2026 року» — «Дональд Трамп» з 10%. Наступний — «Юлія Навальна» з 9%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Лауреат Нобелівської премії миру 2026 року» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.