OpenAI's GPT-5.5, released April 23, currently holds the top spot on Epoch AI's FrontierMath benchmark with 51.7% on Tiers 1-3—expert-level math problems spanning advanced undergraduate to early research challenges—edging out GPT-5.4 Pro at 50%, amid rapid scaling in chain-of-thought reasoning capabilities. Trader sentiment hinges on a May 11 Epoch AI announcement pausing leaderboard updates after GPT-5.5 flagged fatal errors in roughly one-third of Tiers 1-4 problems, with human review confirming most flags valid; corrected scores could elevate implied probabilities for high thresholds like 60% by June 30. Competitive pressure mounts from Google DeepMind's AI Co-Mathematician (47.9% Tier 4 with extended compute), while upcoming model releases or demos remain key catalysts before resolution on the official Tier 1-3 leaderboard.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоOpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
$34,665 Обс.
Feb 28, 2026
60%+
66%
70%+
25%
$34,665 Обс.
60%+
$24,917 Обс.
66%
70%+
$9,748 Обс.
25%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any OpenAI GPT model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI's GPT-5.5, released April 23, currently holds the top spot on Epoch AI's FrontierMath benchmark with 51.7% on Tiers 1-3—expert-level math problems spanning advanced undergraduate to early research challenges—edging out GPT-5.4 Pro at 50%, amid rapid scaling in chain-of-thought reasoning capabilities. Trader sentiment hinges on a May 11 Epoch AI announcement pausing leaderboard updates after GPT-5.5 flagged fatal errors in roughly one-third of Tiers 1-4 problems, with human review confirming most flags valid; corrected scores could elevate implied probabilities for high thresholds like 60% by June 30. Competitive pressure mounts from Google DeepMind's AI Co-Mathematician (47.9% Tier 4 with extended compute), while upcoming model releases or demos remain key catalysts before resolution on the official Tier 1-3 leaderboard.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any OpenAI GPT model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Jan 29, 2026, 12:47 PM ET
Обсяг
$34,665Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 29, 2026, 12:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any OpenAI GPT model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI's GPT-5.5, released April 23, currently holds the top spot on Epoch AI's FrontierMath benchmark with 51.7% on Tiers 1-3—expert-level math problems spanning advanced undergraduate to early research challenges—edging out GPT-5.4 Pro at 50%, amid rapid scaling in chain-of-thought reasoning capabilities. Trader sentiment hinges on a May 11 Epoch AI announcement pausing leaderboard updates after GPT-5.5 flagged fatal errors in roughly one-third of Tiers 1-4 problems, with human review confirming most flags valid; corrected scores could elevate implied probabilities for high thresholds like 60% by June 30. Competitive pressure mounts from Google DeepMind's AI Co-Mathematician (47.9% Tier 4 with extended compute), while upcoming model releases or demos remain key catalysts before resolution on the official Tier 1-3 leaderboard.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any OpenAI GPT model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$34,665Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 29, 2026, 12:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI's GPT-5.5, released April 23, currently holds the top spot on Epoch AI's FrontierMath benchmark with 51.7% on Tiers 1-3—expert-level math problems spanning advanced undergraduate to early research challenges—edging out GPT-5.4 Pro at 50%, amid rapid scaling in chain-of-thought reasoning capabilities. Trader sentiment hinges on a May 11 Epoch AI announcement pausing leaderboard updates after GPT-5.5 flagged fatal errors in roughly one-third of Tiers 1-4 problems, with human review confirming most flags valid; corrected scores could elevate implied probabilities for high thresholds like 60% by June 30. Competitive pressure mounts from Google DeepMind's AI Co-Mathematician (47.9% Tier 4 with extended compute), while upcoming model releases or demos remain key catalysts before resolution on the official Tier 1-3 leaderboard.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання