Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 87% implied probability that Anthropic will command a higher valuation than OpenAI by year-end 2026, driven primarily by Anthropic's ongoing talks for a $30 billion funding round at a $900-950 billion post-money valuation—reported as recently as May 12—eclipsing OpenAI's $852 billion mark from its March 31 close of a record $122 billion raise. Secondary market trading since early April has already seen Anthropic shares surpass OpenAI at levels like $863 billion versus $846 billion, fueled by Anthropic's annualized revenue run-rate hitting $30 billion and overtaking OpenAI amid robust enterprise adoption of Claude models. Key catalysts include potential deal closure by late May and competing product launches, though unconfirmed terms introduce residual uncertainty.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$57,175 Обс.
$57,175 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
$57,175 Обс.
$57,175 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point, Anthropic's most recent public or private valuation is greater than OpenAI's most recent public or private valuation, by December 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 87% implied probability that Anthropic will command a higher valuation than OpenAI by year-end 2026, driven primarily by Anthropic's ongoing talks for a $30 billion funding round at a $900-950 billion post-money valuation—reported as recently as May 12—eclipsing OpenAI's $852 billion mark from its March 31 close of a record $122 billion raise. Secondary market trading since early April has already seen Anthropic shares surpass OpenAI at levels like $863 billion versus $846 billion, fueled by Anthropic's annualized revenue run-rate hitting $30 billion and overtaking OpenAI amid robust enterprise adoption of Claude models. Key catalysts include potential deal closure by late May and competing product launches, though unconfirmed terms introduce residual uncertainty.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point, Anthropic's most recent public or private valuation is greater than OpenAI's most recent public or private valuation, by December 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 14, 2026, 4:55 PM ET
Обсяг
$57,175Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 14, 2026, 4:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point, Anthropic's most recent public or private valuation is greater than OpenAI's most recent public or private valuation, by December 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 87% implied probability that Anthropic will command a higher valuation than OpenAI by year-end 2026, driven primarily by Anthropic's ongoing talks for a $30 billion funding round at a $900-950 billion post-money valuation—reported as recently as May 12—eclipsing OpenAI's $852 billion mark from its March 31 close of a record $122 billion raise. Secondary market trading since early April has already seen Anthropic shares surpass OpenAI at levels like $863 billion versus $846 billion, fueled by Anthropic's annualized revenue run-rate hitting $30 billion and overtaking OpenAI amid robust enterprise adoption of Claude models. Key catalysts include potential deal closure by late May and competing product launches, though unconfirmed terms introduce residual uncertainty.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point, Anthropic's most recent public or private valuation is greater than OpenAI's most recent public or private valuation, by December 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$57,175Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 14, 2026, 4:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 87% implied probability that Anthropic will command a higher valuation than OpenAI by year-end 2026, driven primarily by Anthropic's ongoing talks for a $30 billion funding round at a $900-950 billion post-money valuation—reported as recently as May 12—eclipsing OpenAI's $852 billion mark from its March 31 close of a record $122 billion raise. Secondary market trading since early April has already seen Anthropic shares surpass OpenAI at levels like $863 billion versus $846 billion, fueled by Anthropic's annualized revenue run-rate hitting $30 billion and overtaking OpenAI amid robust enterprise adoption of Claude models. Key catalysts include potential deal closure by late May and competing product launches, though unconfirmed terms introduce residual uncertainty.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання