Anthropic leads trader sentiment at 67.5% implied probability thanks to its Claude Opus 4.7 release in early May, which strengthened style control, literal prompt adherence, and output consistency for writing and agentic workflows. These capabilities align closely with the market's evaluation criteria, giving the company an edge over competitors in recent benchmarks for natural prose and instruction following. Google sits at 22.5% on the strength of Gemini 3.1 Pro's reasoning scores, while OpenAI's GPT-5.5, released in late April, trails at 5.5% despite strong general intelligence results. With only six weeks until end of June, any surprise model updates or benchmark shifts from xAI or DeepSeek could still influence final positioning.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоЯка компанія має найкращу модель ШІ наприкінці червня? (Керування стилем увімкнено)
Яка компанія має найкращу модель ШІ наприкінці червня? (Керування стилем увімкнено)
Anthropic 67%
Google 22%
OpenAI 6%
xAI 2.6%
$1,455,902 Обс.
$1,455,902 Обс.
Jun 30, 2026
Anthropic
67%
22%
OpenAI
6%
xAI
3%
DeepSeek
1%
Alibaba
1%
Microsoft
1%
Meta
1%
Z.ai
1%
Moonshot
1%
Meituan
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Amazon
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Anthropic 67%
Google 22%
OpenAI 6%
xAI 2.6%
$1,455,902 Обс.
$1,455,902 Обс.
Jun 30, 2026
Anthropic
$30,350 Обс.
67%
$18,356 Обс.
22%
OpenAI
$49,319 Обс.
6%
xAI
$14,949 Обс.
3%
DeepSeek
$201,120 Обс.
1%
Alibaba
$136,496 Обс.
1%
Microsoft
$11,868 Обс.
1%
Meta
$8,140 Обс.
1%
Z.ai
$412,881 Обс.
1%
Moonshot
$203,349 Обс.
1%
Meituan
$270,689 Обс.
<1%
Mistral
$59,334 Обс.
<1%
Amazon
$17,641 Обс.
<1%
ByteDance
$12,804 Обс.
<1%
Baidu
$8,606 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic leads trader sentiment at 67.5% implied probability thanks to its Claude Opus 4.7 release in early May, which strengthened style control, literal prompt adherence, and output consistency for writing and agentic workflows. These capabilities align closely with the market's evaluation criteria, giving the company an edge over competitors in recent benchmarks for natural prose and instruction following. Google sits at 22.5% on the strength of Gemini 3.1 Pro's reasoning scores, while OpenAI's GPT-5.5, released in late April, trails at 5.5% despite strong general intelligence results. With only six weeks until end of June, any surprise model updates or benchmark shifts from xAI or DeepSeek could still influence final positioning.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Ринок відкрито: Oct 10, 2025, 5:27 PM ET
Обсяг
$1,455,902Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Oct 10, 2025, 5:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic leads trader sentiment at 67.5% implied probability thanks to its Claude Opus 4.7 release in early May, which strengthened style control, literal prompt adherence, and output consistency for writing and agentic workflows. These capabilities align closely with the market's evaluation criteria, giving the company an edge over competitors in recent benchmarks for natural prose and instruction following. Google sits at 22.5% on the strength of Gemini 3.1 Pro's reasoning scores, while OpenAI's GPT-5.5, released in late April, trails at 5.5% despite strong general intelligence results. With only six weeks until end of June, any surprise model updates or benchmark shifts from xAI or DeepSeek could still influence final positioning.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Обсяг
$1,455,902Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Oct 10, 2025, 5:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Anthropic leads trader sentiment at 67.5% implied probability thanks to its Claude Opus 4.7 release in early May, which strengthened style control, literal prompt adherence, and output consistency for writing and agentic workflows. These capabilities align closely with the market's evaluation criteria, giving the company an edge over competitors in recent benchmarks for natural prose and instruction following. Google sits at 22.5% on the strength of Gemini 3.1 Pro's reasoning scores, while OpenAI's GPT-5.5, released in late April, trails at 5.5% despite strong general intelligence results. With only six weeks until end of June, any surprise model updates or benchmark shifts from xAI or DeepSeek could still influence final positioning.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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