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icon for OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

icon for OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

$35,531 Обс.

Feb 28, 2026
Polymarket

$35,531 Обс.

Polymarket

60%+

$25,783 Обс.

61%

70%+

$9,748 Обс.

24%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any OpenAI GPT model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered. The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI's latest GPT-5.5 Pro model currently leads the FrontierMath leaderboard at 52.4 percent, building on GPT-5.4 Pro's March 2026 record of solving previously unsolved Tier 4 problems and achieving 38 percent on that hardest tier. Developed by Epoch AI with OpenAI funding, the benchmark features hundreds of original research-level math problems where OpenAI holds exclusive access to a subset of questions and solutions, giving its models a structural edge in evaluation. Recent benchmark reviews in May 2026 flagged potential errors in about one-third of problems, which could shift reported scores once corrected. Traders are watching for any GPT-6 preview or internal capability jumps before the June 30 resolution, as even modest gains on this research-grade math benchmark could reinforce OpenAI's lead in advanced reasoning over competitors like Anthropic and Google.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any OpenAI GPT model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.

The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$35,531
Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jan 29, 2026, 12:47 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any OpenAI GPT model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered. The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any OpenAI GPT model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered. The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI's latest GPT-5.5 Pro model currently leads the FrontierMath leaderboard at 52.4 percent, building on GPT-5.4 Pro's March 2026 record of solving previously unsolved Tier 4 problems and achieving 38 percent on that hardest tier. Developed by Epoch AI with OpenAI funding, the benchmark features hundreds of original research-level math problems where OpenAI holds exclusive access to a subset of questions and solutions, giving its models a structural edge in evaluation. Recent benchmark reviews in May 2026 flagged potential errors in about one-third of problems, which could shift reported scores once corrected. Traders are watching for any GPT-6 preview or internal capability jumps before the June 30 resolution, as even modest gains on this research-grade math benchmark could reinforce OpenAI's lead in advanced reasoning over competitors like Anthropic and Google.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any OpenAI GPT model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.

The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$35,531
Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jan 29, 2026, 12:47 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any OpenAI GPT model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered. The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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