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icon for PA-10 Democratic Primary Winner
Вибори·Початкова школа Пенсільванії

PA-10 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for PA-10 Democratic Primary Winner
Вибори·Початкова школа Пенсільванії

PA-10 Democratic Primary Winner

Janelle Stelson 97.4%

Michael Robinson 1.2%

Jason Cass <1%

Justin Douglas <1%

Polymarket

$21,941 Обс.

Janelle Stelson 97.4%

Michael Robinson 1.2%

Jason Cass <1%

Justin Douglas <1%

Polymarket

$21,941 Обс.

Janelle Stelson

$8,271 Обс.

97%

Michael Robinson

$1,458 Обс.

1%

Jason Cass

$9,264 Обс.

1%

Justin Douglas

$1,294 Обс.

1%

William Lillich

$1,654 Обс.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former news anchor Janelle Stelson commands 97.5% implied probability in the PA-10 Democratic primary market as the May 19 contest nears, propelled by her fundraising dominance—outpacing rivals by wide margins—and polling leads exceeding 20 points in recent surveys. Her 2024 near-miss against incumbent Rep. Scott Perry provides unmatched name recognition in this competitive district, while Dauphin County Commissioner Justin Douglas and minor candidates like Michael Robinson trail amid low expected primary turnout favoring established frontrunners. Trader consensus reflects minimal viable paths for upsets, though late scandals, unexpected voter mobilization, or absentee ballot disputes could theoretically erode her edge in the final days.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$21,941
Дата завершення
May 19, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Mar 2, 2026, 7:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former news anchor Janelle Stelson commands 97.5% implied probability in the PA-10 Democratic primary market as the May 19 contest nears, propelled by her fundraising dominance—outpacing rivals by wide margins—and polling leads exceeding 20 points in recent surveys. Her 2024 near-miss against incumbent Rep. Scott Perry provides unmatched name recognition in this competitive district, while Dauphin County Commissioner Justin Douglas and minor candidates like Michael Robinson trail amid low expected primary turnout favoring established frontrunners. Trader consensus reflects minimal viable paths for upsets, though late scandals, unexpected voter mobilization, or absentee ballot disputes could theoretically erode her edge in the final days.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$21,941
Дата завершення
May 19, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Mar 2, 2026, 7:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«PA-10 Democratic Primary Winner» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 5 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Janelle Stelson» з 97%, далі «Michael Robinson» з 1%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «PA-10 Democratic Primary Winner» згенерував $21.9K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Mar 3, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «PA-10 Democratic Primary Winner», перегляньте 5 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «PA-10 Democratic Primary Winner» — «Janelle Stelson» з 97%. Наступний — «Michael Robinson» з 1%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «PA-10 Democratic Primary Winner» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.