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Вибори·Початкова школа Пенсільванії

PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner
Вибори·Початкова школа Пенсільванії

PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner

Bob Brooks 79%

Carol Obando-Derstine 10.9%

Lamont McClure 6.5%

Ryan Crosswell 6.4%

Polymarket

$26,110 Обс.

Bob Brooks 79%

Carol Obando-Derstine 10.9%

Lamont McClure 6.5%

Ryan Crosswell 6.4%

Polymarket

$26,110 Обс.

Bob Brooks

$4,362 Обс.

79%

Carol Obando-Derstine

$5,649 Обс.

11%

Lamont McClure

$5,973 Обс.

6%

Ryan Crosswell

$4,714 Обс.

11%

Lewis Shupe

$3,265 Обс.

<1%

Aiden Gonzalez

$2,147 Обс.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Bob Brooks leads trader consensus at 81% implied probability in the PA-07 Democratic primary due to his consolidation of key endorsements, including the DCCC's backing announced May 5, support from the Pennsylvania Working Families Party, Sen. Elizabeth Warren, and strong union ties as state firefighters president, alongside polling advantages in recent surveys like a Stronger Together tracker and a May preview showing him at 56%. Rivals Ryan Crosswell (10.4%) benefits from top fundraising as a former federal prosecutor, while Carol Obando-Derstine (10.3%) draws bilingual community appeal and Lamont McClure (6.8%) receives recent funding from the Lead Left super PAC amid controversy over its origins. With the May 19 primary five days away, debates have remained mild in this swing district contest to challenge Rep. Ryan Mackenzie, but a May 4 flap over Brooks' claim about Gov. Josh Shapiro has prompted attacks without shifting odds significantly.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$26,110
Дата завершення
May 19, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Mar 20, 2026, 1:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Bob Brooks leads trader consensus at 81% implied probability in the PA-07 Democratic primary due to his consolidation of key endorsements, including the DCCC's backing announced May 5, support from the Pennsylvania Working Families Party, Sen. Elizabeth Warren, and strong union ties as state firefighters president, alongside polling advantages in recent surveys like a Stronger Together tracker and a May preview showing him at 56%. Rivals Ryan Crosswell (10.4%) benefits from top fundraising as a former federal prosecutor, while Carol Obando-Derstine (10.3%) draws bilingual community appeal and Lamont McClure (6.8%) receives recent funding from the Lead Left super PAC amid controversy over its origins. With the May 19 primary five days away, debates have remained mild in this swing district contest to challenge Rep. Ryan Mackenzie, but a May 4 flap over Brooks' claim about Gov. Josh Shapiro has prompted attacks without shifting odds significantly.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$26,110
Дата завершення
May 19, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Mar 20, 2026, 1:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 6 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Bob Brooks» з 79%, далі «Carol Obando-Derstine» з 11%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner» згенерував $26.1K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Mar 20, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner», перегляньте 6 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner» — «Bob Brooks» з 79%. Наступний — «Carol Obando-Derstine» з 11%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.