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Precipitation in NYC in June?

icon for Precipitation in NYC in June?

Precipitation in NYC in June?

Jun 30

Jun 30

3-4" 89%

4-5" 23%

>6" 4.8%

5-6" 4.1%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

3-4" 89%

4-5" 23%

>6" 4.8%

5-6" 4.1%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

<2"

$2,882 Обс.

<1%

2-3"

$2,065 Обс.

<1%

3-4"

$322 Обс.

81%

4-5"

$228 Обс.

16%

5-6"

$256 Обс.

4%

>6"

$398 Обс.

5%

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between June 1 and June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for June 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of June 2026. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent below-average rainfall has positioned trader consensus around 3-4 inches for June 2026 in New York City, with only about 1.4-1.7 inches recorded through mid-month against a climatological normal of 4.54 inches at Central Park. Early June featured mostly dry conditions under a stable high-pressure pattern, limiting convective activity and thunderstorm development typical for the season. With roughly 12 days remaining, near-normal precipitation rates would likely add 1.5-2.5 inches, supporting the market's leading 3-4 inch outcome at 52.5% implied probability. Longer-range guidance indicates a modest uptick in moisture from Atlantic influences, though model spread and El Niño-related variability introduce uncertainty for exceeding 4 inches.

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between June 1 and June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for June 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of June 2026.

The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$6,151
Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026
Ринок відкрито
May 27, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between June 1 and June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for June 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of June 2026. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between June 1 and June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for June 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of June 2026. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent below-average rainfall has positioned trader consensus around 3-4 inches for June 2026 in New York City, with only about 1.4-1.7 inches recorded through mid-month against a climatological normal of 4.54 inches at Central Park. Early June featured mostly dry conditions under a stable high-pressure pattern, limiting convective activity and thunderstorm development typical for the season. With roughly 12 days remaining, near-normal precipitation rates would likely add 1.5-2.5 inches, supporting the market's leading 3-4 inch outcome at 52.5% implied probability. Longer-range guidance indicates a modest uptick in moisture from Atlantic influences, though model spread and El Niño-related variability introduce uncertainty for exceeding 4 inches.

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between June 1 and June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for June 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of June 2026.

The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$6,151
Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026
Ринок відкрито
May 27, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between June 1 and June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for June 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of June 2026. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Precipitation in NYC in June?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 6 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «3-4"» з 81%, далі «4-5"» з 17%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«Precipitation in NYC in June?» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений May 27, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «Precipitation in NYC in June?», перегляньте 6 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Precipitation in NYC in June?» — «3-4"» з 81%. Наступний — «4-5"» з 17%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Precipitation in NYC in June?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.