SpaceX's post-June 2026 IPO trading range near $2.07 trillion as of mid-September underpins the market-implied odds favoring outcomes around or modestly above current levels by end-October. The stock's 17% gain from the $1.77 trillion IPO price reflects Starlink revenue momentum—projected near $45 billion annualized—and optimism around Starship Flight 14, now targeted for late September with the first orbital attempt and V3 satellite deployments. Recent catalysts include a $946 million NASA contract extension and high multiples (roughly 45x forward sales) that amplify sensitivity to execution milestones or delays. Trader sentiment, as aggregated in these probabilities, embeds expectations for continued progress on reusability and constellation expansion while pricing in volatility from retail flows and secondary share transfers. Key near-term swing factors include the orbital test outcome and broader tech risk appetite.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$2.25T+ 40%
$1.75-$2.00T 27%
$2.00-$2.25T 24%
$1.50-$1.75T 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Oct 31, 2026
<$1.00T
4%
$1.00-$1.25T
2%
$1.25-$1.50T
6%
$1.50-$1.75T
11%
$1.75-$2.00T
27%
$2.00-$2.25T
24%
$2.25T+
40%
$2.25T+ 40%
$1.75-$2.00T 27%
$2.00-$2.25T 24%
$1.50-$1.75T 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Oct 31, 2026
<$1.00T
$175 Обс.
4%
$1.00-$1.25T
$224 Обс.
2%
$1.25-$1.50T
$776 Обс.
6%
$1.50-$1.75T
$290 Обс.
11%
$1.75-$2.00T
$1,559 Обс.
27%
$2.00-$2.25T
$338 Обс.
24%
$2.25T+
$4,500 Обс.
40%
This market will resolve according to Space Exploration Technologies' public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.SpaceX's post-June 2026 IPO trading range near $2.07 trillion as of mid-September underpins the market-implied odds favoring outcomes around or modestly above current levels by end-October. The stock's 17% gain from the $1.77 trillion IPO price reflects Starlink revenue momentum—projected near $45 billion annualized—and optimism around Starship Flight 14, now targeted for late September with the first orbital attempt and V3 satellite deployments. Recent catalysts include a $946 million NASA contract extension and high multiples (roughly 45x forward sales) that amplify sensitivity to execution milestones or delays. Trader sentiment, as aggregated in these probabilities, embeds expectations for continued progress on reusability and constellation expansion while pricing in volatility from retail flows and secondary share transfers. Key near-term swing factors include the orbital test outcome and broader tech risk appetite.
This market will resolve according to Space Exploration Technologies' public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 24, 2026, 7:15 PM ET
Обсяг
$7,862Дата завершення
Oct 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 24, 2026, 7:15 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Space Exploration Technologies' public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.SpaceX's post-June 2026 IPO trading range near $2.07 trillion as of mid-September underpins the market-implied odds favoring outcomes around or modestly above current levels by end-October. The stock's 17% gain from the $1.77 trillion IPO price reflects Starlink revenue momentum—projected near $45 billion annualized—and optimism around Starship Flight 14, now targeted for late September with the first orbital attempt and V3 satellite deployments. Recent catalysts include a $946 million NASA contract extension and high multiples (roughly 45x forward sales) that amplify sensitivity to execution milestones or delays. Trader sentiment, as aggregated in these probabilities, embeds expectations for continued progress on reusability and constellation expansion while pricing in volatility from retail flows and secondary share transfers. Key near-term swing factors include the orbital test outcome and broader tech risk appetite.
This market will resolve according to Space Exploration Technologies' public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Обсяг
$7,862Дата завершення
Oct 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 24, 2026, 7:15 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX's post-June 2026 IPO trading range near $2.07 trillion as of mid-September underpins the market-implied odds favoring outcomes around or modestly above current levels by end-October. The stock's 17% gain from the $1.77 trillion IPO price reflects Starlink revenue momentum—projected near $45 billion annualized—and optimism around Starship Flight 14, now targeted for late September with the first orbital attempt and V3 satellite deployments. Recent catalysts include a $946 million NASA contract extension and high multiples (roughly 45x forward sales) that amplify sensitivity to execution milestones or delays. Trader sentiment, as aggregated in these probabilities, embeds expectations for continued progress on reusability and constellation expansion while pricing in volatility from retail flows and secondary share transfers. Key near-term swing factors include the orbital test outcome and broader tech risk appetite.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоПов'язане
Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $2.00T and $2.25T at the end of September 2026?
47%
Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of October 2026?
42%
Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of September 2026?
84%
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання