Ongoing US sanctions and a naval blockade reinstated in July have sharply curtailed Iranian oil exports, slashing hard-currency inflows and widening the gap between official and free-market exchange rates. The rial has traded near or above 2.2 million per dollar on informal markets in recent weeks amid inflation exceeding 80 percent year-over-year and reduced access to foreign reserves. With only days remaining until end-September resolution, limited diplomatic movement or export recovery has kept pressure on the currency, aligning trader pricing with the 2.2–2.5 million band as the most probable outcome under current conditions. Central bank interventions have provided temporary support but have not reversed the broader depreciation trend driven by sanctions enforcement and trade isolation.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено2.2 to 2.5M 65%
2.5 to 2.8M 20%
<2.2M 9%
2.8 to 3.1M 4.2%
$27,556 Обс.
$27,556 Обс.
<2.2M
9%
2.2 to 2.5M
65%
2.5 to 2.8M
20%
2.8 to 3.1M
4%
3.1M+
1%
2.2 to 2.5M 65%
2.5 to 2.8M 20%
<2.2M 9%
2.8 to 3.1M 4.2%
$27,556 Обс.
$27,556 Обс.
<2.2M
9%
2.2 to 2.5M
65%
2.5 to 2.8M
20%
2.8 to 3.1M
4%
3.1M+
1%
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 4, 2026, 2:48 PM ET
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing US sanctions and a naval blockade reinstated in July have sharply curtailed Iranian oil exports, slashing hard-currency inflows and widening the gap between official and free-market exchange rates. The rial has traded near or above 2.2 million per dollar on informal markets in recent weeks amid inflation exceeding 80 percent year-over-year and reduced access to foreign reserves. With only days remaining until end-September resolution, limited diplomatic movement or export recovery has kept pressure on the currency, aligning trader pricing with the 2.2–2.5 million band as the most probable outcome under current conditions. Central bank interventions have provided temporary support but have not reversed the broader depreciation trend driven by sanctions enforcement and trade isolation.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено

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