Recent Zillow Home Value Index levels near $338,000 as of late July 2026, reflecting 4.5% year-over-year appreciation, underpin the 36.5% market-implied probability for the $335K–$340K bin on September 30. Persistent inventory shortages, steady local employment from corporate headquarters, and mortgage rates holding near 6% continue to support modest price gains despite broader cooling in national home-price growth. Traders appear to price in limited near-term volatility, with tighter supply and resilient buyer demand outweighing seasonal softening risks through the third quarter.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$335K - $340K 37%
$325K - $330K 18.3%
$340K - $345K 14%
$345K+ 8%
$76,756 Обс.
$76,756 Обс.
<$320K
1%
$320K - $325K
1%
$325K - $330K
11%
$330K - $335K
6%
$335K - $340K
37%
$340K - $345K
14%
$345K+
8%
$335K - $340K 37%
$325K - $330K 18.3%
$340K - $345K 14%
$345K+ 8%
$76,756 Обс.
$76,756 Обс.
<$320K
1%
$320K - $325K
1%
$325K - $330K
11%
$330K - $335K
6%
$335K - $340K
37%
$340K - $345K
14%
$345K+
8%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago Metro, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago Metro. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/54)
Ринок відкрито: Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago Metro, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago Metro. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/54)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Zillow Home Value Index levels near $338,000 as of late July 2026, reflecting 4.5% year-over-year appreciation, underpin the 36.5% market-implied probability for the $335K–$340K bin on September 30. Persistent inventory shortages, steady local employment from corporate headquarters, and mortgage rates holding near 6% continue to support modest price gains despite broader cooling in national home-price growth. Traders appear to price in limited near-term volatility, with tighter supply and resilient buyer demand outweighing seasonal softening risks through the third quarter.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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