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Економ·Житло

What will the median home value in the SF Metro area be on September 30?

icon for What will the median home value in the SF Metro area be on September 30?
Економ·Житло

What will the median home value in the SF Metro area be on September 30?

Sep 30

Sep 30

<$1.176M 58%

$1.176M - $1.198M 34%

$1.198M - $1.220M 7%

$1.220M - $1.242M 6.4%

Polymarket

$36,788 Обс.

<$1.176M 58%

$1.176M - $1.198M 34%

$1.198M - $1.220M 7%

$1.220M - $1.242M 6.4%

Polymarket

$36,788 Обс.

<$1.176M

$14,621 Обс.

58%

$1.176M - $1.198M

$13,837 Обс.

34%

$1.198M - $1.220M

$1,816 Обс.

7%

$1.220M - $1.242M

$1,808 Обс.

6%

$1.242M - $1.264M

$2,731 Обс.

6%

$1.264M - $1.284M

$904 Обс.

<1%

$1.284M+

$1,072 Обс.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/52)Recent median home value data for the San Francisco metro area, including Zillow indices near $1.42 million for the city proper and broader Bay Area figures around $1.2–1.3 million as of July 2026, anchor trader sentiment toward the sub-$1.198 million range. Persistent low inventory, AI-driven wealth effects boosting luxury demand, and constrained supply continue to support prices, yet moderating year-over-year gains and typical seasonal patterns through late summer point to limited upside by September 30 resolution. Market-implied odds reflect this balance, with higher bins priced at single-digit levels amid uncertainty over mortgage rates and tech employment trends.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on September 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/52)
Обсяг
$36,788
Дата завершення
Sep 30, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/52)
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/52)Recent median home value data for the San Francisco metro area, including Zillow indices near $1.42 million for the city proper and broader Bay Area figures around $1.2–1.3 million as of July 2026, anchor trader sentiment toward the sub-$1.198 million range. Persistent low inventory, AI-driven wealth effects boosting luxury demand, and constrained supply continue to support prices, yet moderating year-over-year gains and typical seasonal patterns through late summer point to limited upside by September 30 resolution. Market-implied odds reflect this balance, with higher bins priced at single-digit levels amid uncertainty over mortgage rates and tech employment trends.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on September 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/52)
Обсяг
$36,788
Дата завершення
Sep 30, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/52)

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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«What will the median home value in the SF Metro area be on September 30?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 7 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «<$1.176M» з 58%, далі «$1.176M - $1.198M» з 34%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «What will the median home value in the SF Metro area be on September 30?» згенерував $36.8K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Jul 1, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «What will the median home value in the SF Metro area be on September 30?», перегляньте 7 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «What will the median home value in the SF Metro area be on September 30?» — «<$1.176M» з 58%. Наступний — «$1.176M - $1.198M» з 34%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «What will the median home value in the SF Metro area be on September 30?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.